Sha Tin · 2024-01-07 · 14:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AORAKI SUMMIT Closed strongly CP/TT 1.21.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 5 | 3.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | WINNING DATA Closed strongly B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 12 | 3.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | KASI FARASI B2 L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 2 | 8.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ENNEA FORTUNE TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 3 | 6.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SOLID SHALAA Closed strongly TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 11 | 6.2 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SKY FOREVER Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 8 | 22.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | KEEN UNITY Closed strongly B-/CP1/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 13 | 85.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ALWAYS AWESOME Closed strongly K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 9 | 31.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly H-/P-/TT- H T Mo · J Richards | H T Mo | J Richards | 14 | 231.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | WINNING SEVEN Closed strongly XB/TT1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 10 | 103.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | GALLANT GOODY B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 170.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | V LOVE YOU Led early TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 1 | 147.0 | 13-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-07 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. AORAKI SUMMIT, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by F C Lor, won by 3-1/4, with WINNING DATA second and CALIFORNIATOTALITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WINNING DATA | 32.5% | 3.08 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SOLID SHALAA | 14.8% | 6.76 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | AORAKI SUMMIT | 7.9% | 12.60 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | TAKE ACTION | 7.6% | 13.08 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | ENNEA FORTUNE | 7.3% | 13.73 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 6.2% | 16.02 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | KEEN UNITY | 6.2% | 16.25 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | SKY FOREVER | 5.3% | 19.04 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 3.8% | 26.45 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | WINNING SEVEN | 3.2% | 31.27 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | ALWAYS AWESOME | 2.2% | 44.68 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | V LOVE YOU | 1.2% | 84.95 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | COURIER MAGIC | 1.0% | 101.96 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | GALLANT GOODY | 0.8% | 120.15 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 32
PLACE
2 15.5
4 16
5 61
QUINELLA
2,4 85
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 33.5
2,5 133
4,5 145.5
FORECAST
2,4 182
TIERCE
2,4,5 2,051
TRIO
2,4,5 342
FIRST 4
2,4,5,7 1,550
QUARTET
2,4,5,7 23,983
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
1/2 155
1/4 22