Sha Tin · 2024-01-07 · 17:53
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELIOS EXPRESS Closed strongly 1.34.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 2.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 8 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 13 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly B-/TT1 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 7 | 116.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ALACRITY B/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 2 | 7.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H- C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 6.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | DANCING CODE Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 12 | 7.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 46.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE CP-/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 61.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | FIND MY LOVE H/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 10 | 24.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 56.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 39.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-07 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. HELIOS EXPRESS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by 2-3/4, with SPIRITED EXPRESS second and THE BEST PEACH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 33.6% | 2.97 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ALACRITY | 14.6% | 6.86 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | DANCING CODE | 11.1% | 9.01 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 10.9% | 9.19 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | THE BEST PEACH | 7.2% | 13.81 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 3.6% | 28.04 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 3.2% | 31.28 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT | 3.1% | 31.84 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 2.9% | 34.09 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE | 2.8% | 36.13 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE | 2.7% | 36.95 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | FIND MY LOVE | 2.5% | 39.63 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY | 1.7% | 57.91 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 21
PLACE
5 11.5
9 80
11 33.5
QUINELLA
5,9 348
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 131
5,11 66.5
9,11 427
FORECAST
5,9 437
TIERCE
5,9,11 3,470
TRIO
5,9,11 883
FIRST 4
5,9,10,11 14,955
QUARTET
5,9,11,10 138,646
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
4/4/5 823
4/4/9 2,595
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,11/5,9,11 195,396
9TH DOUBLE
4/5 78.5
4/9 208
SIX UP
1,3/4,6/8,9/4,8/1,4/5,9 8,937
3/6/9/4/4/5 2,474,736
1 [H Bowman] —
3 [J Size] —