Sha Tin · 2024-01-07 · 08:45
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-07 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CAPITAL DELIGHT, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with GOOD BUDDY second and MARK THE MOMENT third. The 2.8 favourite CALL ME DANDY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CAPITAL DELIGHT TT 1.08.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 12.0 | HD |
| 2 | 8 | GOOD BUDDY B1/TT1 A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 9 | 12.0 | HD |
| 3 | 9 | MARK THE MOMENT V/TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 12 | 9.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 37.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | CALL ME DANDY B/XB Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 2 | 2.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 5 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | TORONADO PHANTOM P/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 3 | 9.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | LUCKY EIGHT B K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 6 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | WINGS OF WAR B-/PC1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 8 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | MIGHTY ARMOUR B-/H-/PC1/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 11 | 182.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | THE GREAT MASTER XB-/TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 101.0 | 23-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CALL ME DANDY | 20.4% | 4.89 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 13.6% | 7.34 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 11.7% | 8.55 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | GOOD BUDDY | 10.4% | 9.57 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 9.2% | 10.93 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 8.3% | 12.02 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | LUCKY EIGHT | 8.3% | 12.08 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | MARK THE MOMENT | 8.0% | 12.45 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | WINGS OF WAR | 4.5% | 22.26 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | MONTA FRUTTA | 4.0% | 25.30 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | MIGHTY ARMOUR | 0.9% | 113.11 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | THE GREAT MASTER | 0.7% | 151.01 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 120
PLACE
4 40
8 36.5
9 35
QUINELLA
4,8 761.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 215.5
4,9 253.5
8,9 173.5
FORECAST
4,8 1,687
TIERCE
4,8,9 13,698
TRIO
4,8,9 2,622
FIRST 4
4,8,9,11 14,553
QUARTET
4,8,9,11 235,177
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,9/4,8,9 190,042
7TH DOUBLE
9/4 1,858.5
9/8 489.5