Sha Tin · 2024-01-07 · 17:18
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLUE MARLIN Closed strongly H 1.21.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 4 | 2.8 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | SUPERB BOY TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 5 | 4.9 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | SILVER UP Closed strongly B/H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 74.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | THE HEIR Closed strongly A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 6.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MASTER OF FORTUNE B1/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 7 | 7.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SEIZING THE MOMENT PC-/B2 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 8.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly H/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 9 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | SOLAR PARTNER Led early TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE Closed strongly B/TT K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 8 | 138.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FOREVER CHARM Closed strongly L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 13 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNER METHOD B-/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 22.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PINS PRINCE Closed strongly H/P/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 11 | 46.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | TRUE GENIUS H-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 88.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | E LEGEND K De Melo · K L Man | K De Melo | K L Man | 14 | 73.0 | 13-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SURUGA BAY · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-07 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BLUE MARLIN, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with SUPERB BOY second and SILVER UP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE HEIR | 16.8% | 5.97 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | BLUE MARLIN | 14.0% | 7.15 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 11.6% | 8.62 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPERB BOY | 11.2% | 8.90 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 11.1% | 9.02 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | PINS PRINCE | 8.0% | 12.50 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | SOLAR PARTNER | 6.3% | 15.83 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNER METHOD | 4.8% | 20.71 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | FOREVER CHARM | 4.5% | 22.06 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | SIXTH GENERATION | 4.1% | 24.25 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | E LEGEND | 3.7% | 27.24 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 2.0% | 49.41 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | SILVER UP | 1.2% | 86.23 | 3 |
| 14 | 0 | TRUE GENIUS | 0.7% | 145.64 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 28.5
PLACE
1 17
4 14
11 159
QUINELLA
1,4 84.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 36.5
1,11 612.5
4,11 389.5
FORECAST
4,1 152
TIERCE
4,1,11 6,154
TRIO
1,4,11 2,044
FIRST 4
1,4,8,11 1,314
QUARTET
4,1,11,8 27,325
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
4/1 89.5
4/4 289.5