Sha Tin · 2024-01-07 · 05:05
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-01-07 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. BEAT HOLLOW, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with SUPER JOY second and ALL IS READY third. The 4.8 favourite SUPER JOY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAT HOLLOW 1.09.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 6.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | SUPER JOY B/XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 4.8 | N |
| 3 | 8 | ALL IS READY B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | CHARMING STEED E1/V1/XB1/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 5 | 9.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | ISLAND SURPRISE B-/V1/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 8 | 7.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | COMPULSORY B K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 10 | 8.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | MASTER OF ALL TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 7 | 54.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 1 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | VAMOS B K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 9 | 7.7 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 9 | GENERAL ACE L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAT HOLLOW | 17.5% | 5.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | ALL IS READY | 16.7% | 5.98 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | VAMOS | 16.2% | 6.16 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | CHARMING STEED | 13.1% | 7.65 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 10.8% | 9.30 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER JOY | 8.9% | 11.23 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 5.8% | 17.29 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | COMPULSORY | 5.4% | 18.47 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 3.1% | 32.72 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | MASTER OF ALL | 2.6% | 38.88 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 60.5
PLACE
5 23.5
8 17
10 17
QUINELLA
5,10 181.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 66.5
5,10 62
8,10 47
FORECAST
5,10 375
TIERCE
5,10,8 1,368
TRIO
5,8,10 241
FIRST 4
5,7,8,10 909
QUARTET
5,10,8,7 19,419