跑馬地 · 2024-01-31 · 00:49
第 3場
2024-01-31跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的TELECOM SPEED勝出，贏出3-1/4。YEABOI獲得亞軍；GALLANT VALOUR獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門GALLANT VALOUR跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TELECOM SPEED 1.10.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 6 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | YEABOI B/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 37.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | GALLANT VALOUR B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 7 | 3.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | LYRICAL MOTION B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | KILINDINI H-/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 5 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | HIGH PERCENTAGE B-/V1/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 4 | 6.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | EXUBERANT B/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 3 | 11.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | WOOD ON FIRE H/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 11 | 44.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | DIAMOND SOARS TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 12 | 14.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | FLYING ROMANTIC A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 1 | 27.0 | 13-1/4 |
| — | 6 | FAST AS ROCKET TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 2 | 77.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GALLANT VALOUR | 23.5% | 4.25 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | LYRICAL MOTION | 16.0% | 6.27 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | KILINDINI | 14.7% | 6.83 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | TELECOM SPEED | 9.5% | 10.49 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | EXUBERANT | 9.0% | 11.11 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | DIAMOND SOARS | 7.6% | 13.12 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | HIGH PERCENTAGE | 6.3% | 15.82 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 4.1% | 24.37 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | YEABOI | 3.7% | 27.07 | 2 |
| 10 | 7 | FLYING ROMANTIC | 3.1% | 31.85 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | WOOD ON FIRE | 2.5% | 40.32 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 112
PLACE
3 15
8 32
11 98.5
QUINELLA
8,11 2,132.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 67.5
3,11 343
8,11 597.5
FORECAST
8,11 3,400
TIERCE
8,11,3 18,647
TRIO
3,8,11 2,692
FIRST 4
3,4,8,11 2,964
QUARTET
8,11,3,4 122,352
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,11/3,8,11 570,474
2ND DOUBLE
2/8 1,367.5
2/11 722.5