跑馬地 · 2024-01-31 · 00:49
第 4場
2024-01-31跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、W K Mo訓練的CIRCUIT SEVEN勝出，贏出HD。HARMONY FIRE獲得亞軍；OVERSUBSCRIBED獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門SUPER FAST DRAGON跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT 0.57.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 3 | 17.0 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | HARMONY FIRE SR/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 9 | 11.0 | HD |
| 3 | 8 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 7.8 | HD |
| 4 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 9.3 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | LEAN MASTER B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 10 | 27.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | G ONE EXCELLENT B-/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 77.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | GALLANT GOODY B- M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 4 | 81.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPER FAST DRAGON B/XB/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 12 | 2.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | BEAUTY DESTINY CP/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 6.4 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | LIFE IS GOOD H/P/XB/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 5 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | SCOTCH TYCOON B B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 8 | 46.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 16.5% | 6.06 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 11.1% | 9.02 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | BEAUTY DESTINY | 11.1% | 9.02 | 10 |
| 4 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 11.0% | 9.09 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | LIFE IS GOOD | 10.4% | 9.61 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | HARMONY FIRE | 10.1% | 9.90 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | SUPER FAST DRAGON | 9.9% | 10.13 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | LEAN MASTER | 6.4% | 15.67 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 5.9% | 16.90 | 1 |
| 10 | 1 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 5.1% | 19.70 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 2.0% | 50.80 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | GALLANT GOODY | 0.6% | 169.23 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 177
PLACE
2 37
8 22.5
10 39
QUINELLA
2,10 803.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 98.5
2,10 241
8,10 135.5
FORECAST
10,2 1,616
TIERCE
10,2,8 7,882
TRIO
2,8,10 1,643
FIRST 4
2,3,8,10 1,928
QUARTET
10,2,8,3 49,741
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
8/2 189.5
8/10 1,343