跑馬地 · 2024-01-31 · 00:49
第 7場
2024-01-31跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、C Fownes訓練的NICCONI COUNTY勝出，贏出SH。HARMONY N BLESSED獲得亞軍；JUMBO FORTUNE獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門CELESTIAL COLOURS跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | NICCONI COUNTY XB/TT 1.10.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 7 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 2 | 22.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | JUMBO FORTUNE PC/XB A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 6 | 31.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | ACT OF FAITH B A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | GRATEFUL HEART B/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 4 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | NEVER TOO SOON K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 3 | 7.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 32.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | O'LINER P/TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 9 | 9.8 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | ONE FOR ALL B/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 1 | 5.9 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | CELESTIAL COLOURS B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 3.5 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 7.9 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CELESTIAL COLOURS | 19.3% | 5.17 | 11 |
| 2 | 6 | O'LINER | 14.3% | 6.98 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | ONE FOR ALL | 10.8% | 9.25 | 10 |
| 4 | 9 | ACT OF FAITH | 9.3% | 10.72 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 9.1% | 10.95 | 12 |
| 6 | 7 | NEVER TOO SOON | 7.6% | 13.09 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | NICCONI COUNTY | 6.8% | 14.81 | 1 |
| 8 | 4 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 5.5% | 18.12 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 4.8% | 20.78 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 4.5% | 22.19 | 3 |
| 11 | 8 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 4.1% | 24.35 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | GRATEFUL HEART | 3.7% | 26.91 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 109
PLACE
2 61
10 30
11 73
QUINELLA
2,10 1,357
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 401.5
2,11 694
10,11 358
FORECAST
10,2 2,515
TIERCE
10,2,11 23,152
TRIO
2,10,11 7,437
FIRST 4
2,9,10,11 21,973
QUARTET
10,2,11,9 547,207
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,12/2,10,11 5,153,938
6TH DOUBLE
3/2 177.5
3/10 455.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,7,10/3,10,12/Any Combination 127,358