跑馬地 · 2024-02-07 · 14:19
第 8場
2024-02-07跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、P F Yiu訓練的WATCH BUDDY勝出，贏出NOSE。HEALTHY HEALTHY獲得亞軍；CHAMPION METHOD獲得季軍。頭馬以2.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WATCH BUDDY 1.10.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 2.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 5 | HEALTHY HEALTHY TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 9 | 7.6 | NOSE |
| 3 | 9 | CHAMPION METHOD CP-/B1/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 8 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | TORONADO PHANTOM P-/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | GOLDEN DARCI P/XB K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 12 | 111.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | STREET CONQUEROR TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 3 | 9.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | LEEDOX TT1 Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 4 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | ACE ONE SR-/B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 10 | 60.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CAPITAL DELIGHT TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 7 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | ENFOLDED TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 11 | 181.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | NORTHERN BEACHES L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 5 | 11.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WATCH BUDDY | 20.6% | 4.84 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 16.0% | 6.23 | 10 |
| 3 | 6 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 14.4% | 6.93 | 12 |
| 4 | 5 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 12.2% | 8.20 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | LEEDOX | 9.4% | 10.64 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 7.1% | 14.10 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | STREET CONQUEROR | 5.6% | 17.82 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | ACE ONE | 5.6% | 18.01 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 4.1% | 24.20 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | CHAMPION METHOD | 2.9% | 34.17 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | GOLDEN DARCI | 1.5% | 67.10 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | ENFOLDED | 0.5% | 201.62 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 20
PLACE
4 12.5
5 21.5
9 38.5
QUINELLA
4,5 66
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 31
4,9 68
5,9 146.5
FORECAST
4,5 105
TIERCE
4,5,9 905
TRIO
4,5,9 305
FIRST 4
2,4,5,9 706
QUARTET
4,5,9,2 6,901
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
9/4 174
9/5 101