跑馬地 · 2024-02-07 · 13:47
第 7場
2024-02-07跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、C S Shum訓練的EIGHTEEN PALMS勝出，贏出1-3/4。TOURBILLON PRINCE獲得亞軍；ALL BEAUTY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.4倍大熱門ROCKET SPADE跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | EIGHTEEN PALMS 後段發力 B/TT 1.40.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 7.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | TOURBILLON PRINCE 早段領放 TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | ALL BEAUTY 後段發力 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 7.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | AESTHETICISM 後段發力 B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 9 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | LUCKY EIGHT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 59.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | U S S CONSTITUTION B/TT H T Mo · J Size | H T Mo | J Size | 5 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | D STAR 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | ROCKET SPADE XB/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 3 | 4.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | SIXTH GENERATION H/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 7 | 7.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | LOYAL BABY H-/TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 2 | 36.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | EASON V/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 20.0 | 6 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 17.3% | 5.76 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | AESTHETICISM | 16.5% | 6.05 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 15.4% | 6.48 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | ROCKET SPADE | 10.4% | 9.60 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | ALL BEAUTY | 8.2% | 12.15 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | SIXTH GENERATION | 7.2% | 13.84 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | LUCKY EIGHT | 6.4% | 15.74 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | D STAR | 5.1% | 19.76 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | EASON | 4.9% | 20.54 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | U S S CONSTITUTION | 3.4% | 29.17 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 2.6% | 39.06 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | LOYAL BABY | 2.6% | 39.18 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 79.5
PLACE
3 19
5 27
9 23
QUINELLA
3,9 202
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 76
3,9 65.5
5,9 82.5
FORECAST
9,3 411
TIERCE
9,3,5 1,849
TRIO
3,5,9 302
FIRST 4
3,5,8,9 410
QUARTET
9,3,5,8 9,291
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,11,12/3,5,9 110,487
6TH DOUBLE
12/3 80
12/9 465
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,10/2,11,12/3,5,9 5,059,718
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,10/2,11,12/Any Combination 10,042