Happy Valley · 2024-02-07 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 7.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE Led early TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 7.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 9 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY EIGHT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 59.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | U S S CONSTITUTION B/TT H T Mo · J Size | H T Mo | J Size | 5 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | D STAR Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ROCKET SPADE XB/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 3 | 4.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SIXTH GENERATION H/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 7 | 7.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | LOYAL BABY H-/TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 2 | 36.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | EASON V/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 20.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-07 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. EIGHTEEN PALMS, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-3/4, with TOURBILLON PRINCE second and ALL BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite ROCKET SPADE finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 17.3% | 5.76 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | AESTHETICISM | 16.5% | 6.05 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 15.4% | 6.48 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | ROCKET SPADE | 10.4% | 9.60 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY | 8.2% | 12.15 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SIXTH GENERATION | 7.2% | 13.84 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY EIGHT | 6.4% | 15.74 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | D STAR | 5.1% | 19.76 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | EASON | 4.9% | 20.54 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | U S S CONSTITUTION | 3.4% | 29.17 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 2.6% | 39.06 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 2.6% | 39.18 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 79.5
PLACE
3 19
5 27
9 23
QUINELLA
3,9 202
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 76
3,9 65.5
5,9 82.5
FORECAST
9,3 411
TIERCE
9,3,5 1,849
TRIO
3,5,9 302
FIRST 4
3,5,8,9 410
QUARTET
9,3,5,8 9,291
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,11,12/3,5,9 110,487
6TH DOUBLE
12/3 80
12/9 465
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,10/2,11,12/3,5,9 5,059,718
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,10/2,11,12/Any Combination 10,042