Happy Valley · 2024-02-07 · 10:41
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-07 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. UNITED ENDEAVORS, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by W Y So, won by 1-3/4, with BRILLIANT PIONEER second and BIG TWO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite REGENCY HAPPY STAR finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | UNITED ENDEAVORS Closed strongly H/TT 1.40.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 2 | 6.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | BRILLIANT PIONEER Closed strongly PC-/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 5 | 7.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | BIG TWO Closed strongly SR/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 7 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | STORMTROUPER Closed strongly E/XB L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 1 | 7.2 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | CHARMING STEED E/V/XB/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 12 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | VIVA A LA Led early B/H/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 8.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | YOUNG HORIZON H- K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 11 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | NICE BIRDIE Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 9 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER HORNET B/XB/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 8 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR CP/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 4 | 40.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 10 | DASHING GLORY H-/TT K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 64.0 | 38-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 20.8% | 4.80 | 10 |
| 2 | 2 | NICE BIRDIE | 16.4% | 6.11 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 11.8% | 8.47 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 11.0% | 9.07 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | CHARMING STEED | 7.5% | 13.33 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | STORMTROUPER | 6.9% | 14.51 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | YOUNG HORIZON | 5.7% | 17.64 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | BIG TWO | 5.4% | 18.56 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | VIVA A LA | 4.9% | 20.55 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | DASHING GLORY | 4.0% | 24.71 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPER HORNET | 3.2% | 31.54 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 2.5% | 40.80 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 62.5
PLACE
4 27.5
7 19.5
9 29.5
QUINELLA
7,9 222.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 80.5
4,9 129.5
7,9 80
FORECAST
7,9 435
TIERCE
7,9,4 3,411
TRIO
4,7,9 655
FIRST 4
1,4,7,9 948
QUARTET
7,9,4,1 21,677