Happy Valley · 2024-02-07 · 20:42
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOVERO Closed strongly TT 1.41.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 7.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 4.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DRAGON STAR V/XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 8 | 5.5 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | GALVANIC TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 4 | 8.2 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 5.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN Led early B K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 11 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | MERCHANT PRINCE V/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 5 | 88.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING BOY B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 6 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | REACH GOAL Closed strongly TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 12 | 34.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHATEAU LE PECHE B1 H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 10 | 91.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | AMAZINGTEAMWORK TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 3 | 134.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-07 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LOVERO, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with STURDY RUBY second and WIN WIN FIGHTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite STURDY RUBY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STURDY RUBY | 26.6% | 3.76 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 15.3% | 6.53 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | KASA PAPA | 13.8% | 7.24 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | DRAGON STAR | 13.2% | 7.60 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | REACH GOAL | 6.6% | 15.23 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | LOVERO | 6.1% | 16.43 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 5.9% | 17.08 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | GALVANIC | 5.2% | 19.34 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN | 3.3% | 30.00 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 2.3% | 44.22 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZINGTEAMWORK | 1.1% | 95.19 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | MERCHANT PRINCE | 0.8% | 131.15 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 71
PLACE
1 25.5
4 21
10 16.5
QUINELLA
1,10 199
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 85
1,10 73
4,10 60
FORECAST
1,10 408
TIERCE
1,10,4 2,194
TRIO
1,4,10 372
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 210
QUARTET
1,10,4,2 6,223
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
7/6/1 4,313
7/6/10 597
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,12/1,4,10 34,831
4TH DOUBLE
6/1 898.5
6/10 143