Happy Valley · 2024-02-07 · 11:12
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-07 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. ROMANTIC FANTASY, ridden by A Badel and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with SHARPEN BRIGHT second and SERANGOON third. The winner led throughout. The 2.3 favourite SHARPEN BRIGHT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ROMANTIC FANTASY Wire to wire B/TT 2.18.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 5 | 18.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | SHARPEN BRIGHT Closed strongly CP/XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 2.3 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | SERANGOON Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 7 | 7.4 | SH |
| 4 | 11 | HAPPY HERO CP M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 3 | 8.0 | SH |
| 5 | 10 | PALACE PAL Closed strongly V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 8.2 | N |
| 6 | 7 | JUBILATION V M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | RUNNING AHEAD TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | PRECISE EXPRESS H L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 4 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | READY PLAYER ONE PC-/XB/V2/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 10 | 30.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | WONDER YEARS B/XB/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 8 | 7.6 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 5 | MR ALADDIN K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 40.0% | 2.50 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | HAPPY HERO | 10.1% | 9.95 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | PALACE PAL | 9.3% | 10.77 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | WONDER YEARS | 8.3% | 11.98 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | SERANGOON | 7.6% | 13.20 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | RUNNING AHEAD | 7.5% | 13.30 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | JUBILATION | 7.2% | 13.84 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 4.7% | 21.44 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 3.4% | 29.00 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | READY PLAYER ONE | 1.9% | 52.16 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 180.5
PLACE
3 48
4 22.5
8 11.5
QUINELLA
3,8 279
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 149
3,8 96.5
4,8 46
FORECAST
3,8 664
TIERCE
3,8,4 3,273
TRIO
3,4,8 436
FIRST 4
3,4,8,11 611
QUARTET
3,8,4,11 22,758
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/3 917
7/8 37