Happy Valley · 2024-02-07 · 19:40
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT 1.41.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR Closed strongly B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 11 | 29.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 1 | 2.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CHIRON Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 10 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 7.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CHOICERUS Closed strongly B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 31.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPIHOOD B-/CP1/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 2 | 110.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 12 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 9 | 47.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY B/TT E C W Wong · W Y So | E C W Wong | W Y So | 8 | 26.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DAILY TROPHY Led early B-/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 4 | 8.8 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | MISTER ARM H2 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 44.0 | 17-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-07 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MEDIC ELITE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/4, with MIGHTY STAR second and SUPERB MOVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite SUPERB MOVE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 24.0% | 4.16 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE | 21.2% | 4.71 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | DAILY TROPHY | 14.5% | 6.90 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | CHIRON | 9.9% | 10.06 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 8.8% | 11.37 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | CHOICERUS | 6.5% | 15.44 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 3.4% | 29.08 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPIHOOD | 3.1% | 32.19 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | MIGHTY STAR | 3.1% | 32.28 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 3.0% | 33.89 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | MISTER ARM | 1.3% | 77.15 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | COURIER MAGIC | 1.1% | 88.05 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 31
PLACE
2 11
7 15
11 70
QUINELLA
7,11 474.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 20.5
2,11 138
7,11 134.5
FORECAST
7,11 726
TIERCE
7,11,2 2,718
TRIO
2,7,11 333
FIRST 4
2,7,9,11 775
QUARTET
7,11,2,9 17,674
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,8/2,7,11 9,512
2ND DOUBLE
3/7 688
3/11 428