Happy Valley · 2024-02-07 · 13:13
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-07 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. DAN ATTACK, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by J Richards, won by 3/4, with HAPPY FAT CAT second and SUPER EAGLE third. The 4.3 favourite PARTY WARRIOR finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | DAN ATTACK TT 1.10.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 3 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | HAPPY FAT CAT TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 12 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | SUPER EAGLE TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | TATTENHAM K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 9.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | GORGEOUS VITALITY CP L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 7 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/XB/TT2 E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | PARTY WARRIOR K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 1 | 4.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | DREAM PURSUER B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | SEE U AGAIN C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 4.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | MISTER FOX M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 68.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | SAVVY ELEGANCE B1/H1/TT1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 4 | 34.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | HERO WARRIOR TT1 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 67.0 | 18 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SUPER EAGLE | 19.7% | 5.08 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | SEE U AGAIN | 15.6% | 6.39 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | PARTY WARRIOR | 15.0% | 6.66 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | TATTENHAM | 14.6% | 6.84 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | DREAM PURSUER | 11.4% | 8.76 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 6.2% | 16.22 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | DAN ATTACK | 4.3% | 23.37 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 4.2% | 23.73 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPER AXIOM | 2.7% | 36.86 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | SAVVY ELEGANCE | 2.7% | 37.63 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | MISTER FOX | 2.4% | 41.44 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | HERO WARRIOR | 1.2% | 84.64 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 101.5
PLACE
2 71.5
11 18
12 28.5
QUINELLA
2,12 1,407.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 161.5
2,12 385.5
11,12 84
FORECAST
12,2 2,645
TIERCE
12,2,11 11,729
TRIO
2,11,12 1,734
FIRST 4
2,10,11,12 2,191
QUARTET
12,2,11,10 58,654
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
1/2 315.5
1/12 583.5