跑馬地 · 2024-02-07 · 14:54
第 9場
2024-02-07跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、C Fownes訓練的SUGAR SUGAR勝出，贏出3/4。WINGS OF WAR獲得亞軍；CHAIN OF GOLD獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門RAGING BLIZZARD跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUGAR SUGAR TT 1.10.29 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | WINGS OF WAR PC-/B2/TT- H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | CHAIN OF GOLD H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 4 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | RAGING BLIZZARD Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 2.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | BON'S A PEARLA B A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 1 | 8.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | GOLDEN SAMURAI B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SING DRAGON L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 2 | 6.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | STAR LINE B K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 11 | 154.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | HEROIC MASTER CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 10 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | GOLDEN TITLE TT1 K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 7 | 59.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SOLAR UP B-/CP1/TT1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 9 | 130.0 | 27-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 44.2% | 2.26 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | BON'S A PEARLA | 13.2% | 7.58 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | HEROIC MASTER | 9.6% | 10.47 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | WINGS OF WAR | 7.9% | 12.66 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | SUGAR SUGAR | 6.6% | 15.12 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | GOLDEN SAMURAI | 5.1% | 19.79 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | SING DRAGON | 4.0% | 25.03 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 3.5% | 28.39 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY | 2.5% | 40.06 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | GOLDEN TITLE | 2.1% | 47.73 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | SOLAR UP | 0.7% | 146.09 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | STAR LINE | 0.7% | 151.54 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 102
PLACE
5 26.5
8 26.5
9 50.5
QUINELLA
5,8 510
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 121.5
5,9 341.5
8,9 296.5
FORECAST
8,5 1,050
TIERCE
8,5,9 17,959
TRIO
5,8,9 4,121
FIRST 4
3,5,8,9 1,044
QUARTET
8,5,9,3 46,608
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
9/4/5 249
9/4/8 1,384
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,9/5,8,9 125,754
8TH DOUBLE
4/5 49
4/8 269.5
SIX UP
1,6/1,10/2,12/3,9/4,5/5,8 11,883
6/1/12/9/4/8 2,008,416
4 [H Bentley] —
4 [C S Shum] —