跑馬地 · 2024-02-15 · 13:17
第 6場
2024-02-15跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由E C W Wong策騎、D J Whyte訓練的HARMONY FIRE勝出，贏出2-3/4。FUN ELITE獲得亞軍；RUBY SAILING獲得季軍。頭馬以4.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE SR/TT 0.57.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | FUN ELITE TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 10 | 7.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | RUBY SAILING TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 7.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | KING INVINCIBLE B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | PARENTS' LOVE H1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.7 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | SERGEANT PEPPER M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 8 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | FORTUNE WARRIOR B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 7 | 9.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 12 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | GLORIOUS EXPERT P1/TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | HICKORY VICTORY B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 79.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | SAME TO YOU H/P/TT1 B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 11 | 107.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | MOLLY'S WITNESS TT1 Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 5.5 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MOLLY'S WITNESS | 19.9% | 5.02 | 12 |
| 2 | 8 | PARENTS' LOVE | 12.6% | 7.94 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 11.2% | 8.96 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | FUN ELITE | 10.9% | 9.14 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 9.0% | 11.07 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE | 9.0% | 11.11 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 9.0% | 11.14 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | KING INVINCIBLE | 6.1% | 16.31 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 5.6% | 17.93 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | RUBY SAILING | 5.5% | 18.14 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | HICKORY VICTORY | 0.7% | 151.34 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | SAME TO YOU | 0.5% | 194.91 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 43.5
PLACE
2 21.5
3 19
9 23
QUINELLA
2,3 208.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 74.5
2,9 79
3,9 75.5
FORECAST
3,2 478
TIERCE
3,2,9 2,562
TRIO
2,3,9 457
FIRST 4
2,3,9,12 1,069
QUARTET
3,2,9,12 23,800
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
3/2 101
3/3 464.5