跑馬地 · 2024-02-15 · 14:59
第 9場
2024-02-15跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、C Fownes訓練的NOBLE PURSUIT勝出，贏出1-1/2。TURIN MASCOT獲得亞軍；FLAMINGO TRILLION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.5倍大熱門FLAMINGO TRILLION跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | NOBLE PURSUIT 後段發力 TT 1.50.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | TURIN MASCOT 後段發力 PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 11 | 8.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | FLAMINGO TRILLION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | ROMANTIC LAOS 後段發力 CP/H/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 12 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | ALL BEAUTY 後段發力 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | ESCAPE ROUTE H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | ACCOLADE START 後段發力 TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 40.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | HAMERON 早段領放 B/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 7 | 6.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | MAJESTIC VICTORY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | LEAN HERO B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 1 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | NICHOLSON RETURNS B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 9.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | PRIME MINISTER TT E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 5 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 24.4% | 4.10 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 17.5% | 5.71 | 11 |
| 3 | 12 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 14.4% | 6.93 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | LEAN HERO | 8.3% | 12.06 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | TURIN MASCOT | 6.8% | 14.79 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | ALL BEAUTY | 5.6% | 18.01 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 5.0% | 20.03 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | HAMERON | 4.4% | 22.51 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | PRIME MINISTER | 4.3% | 23.30 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 4.0% | 24.73 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 3.5% | 28.30 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | ACCOLADE START | 1.8% | 57.06 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 47.5
PLACE
3 28
11 18
12 17.5
QUINELLA
3,12 184.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 74
3,12 69
11,12 43
FORECAST
12,3 316
TIERCE
12,3,11 1,367
TRIO
3,11,12 340
FIRST 4
3,5,11,12 2,363
QUARTET
12,3,11,5 37,396
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
2/3/3 5,559
2/3/12 18,544
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,4/3,11,12 85,647
8TH DOUBLE
3/3 548
3/12 2,363
SIX UP
1,11/1,3/2,3/2,9/2,3/3,12 38,580
2 [K Teetan] —
13 [K W Lui] —