跑馬地 · 2024-02-15 · 13:53
第 7場
2024-02-15跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、K W Lui訓練的JOY COMING勝出，贏出SH。MULTIDARLING獲得亞軍；LYRICAL MOTION獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門LYRICAL MOTION跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | JOY COMING CP-/B1/TT 1.10.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 12 | 20.0 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | MULTIDARLING TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 1 | 4.9 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | LYRICAL MOTION B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | COUNTRY DANCER P B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/H/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 11 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | SHINKANSEN H/SR/TT B Thompson · D J Whyte | B Thompson | D J Whyte | 7 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | YODA'S CHOICE CP1 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 2 | 4.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | CHEER FOR SOUTH SR M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | TOP TOP TEA V-/B2/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 10 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | GALLANT GOODY M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 3 | 46.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 6 | 6.9 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | KA YING POWER B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 57.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | YODA'S CHOICE | 24.9% | 4.01 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | LYRICAL MOTION | 16.9% | 5.90 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | MULTIDARLING | 12.1% | 8.29 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | SHINKANSEN | 9.7% | 10.32 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | ERNEST FEELING | 7.4% | 13.50 | 11 |
| 6 | 8 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 7.4% | 13.52 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | JOY COMING | 5.5% | 18.09 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 5.5% | 18.27 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | COUNTRY DANCER | 4.7% | 21.11 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | TOP TOP TEA | 4.2% | 23.96 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | KA YING POWER | 0.9% | 106.29 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | GALLANT GOODY | 0.7% | 140.22 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 206.5
PLACE
2 52
5 15.5
9 17
QUINELLA
2,9 438
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 111.5
2,9 143
5,9 38.5
FORECAST
2,9 989
TIERCE
2,9,5 4,503
TRIO
2,5,9 463
FIRST 4
2,5,7,9 1,685
QUARTET
2,9,5,7 48,370
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,9/2,5,9 41,505
6TH DOUBLE
3/2 1,280.5
3/9 67.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,4/2,3,9/2,5,9 2,011,453
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,4/2,3,9/Any Combination 3,771