Happy Valley · 2024-02-15 · 22:58
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT 1.50.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 11 | 8.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FLAMINGO TRILLION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly CP/H/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 12 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | ACCOLADE START Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 40.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HAMERON Led early B/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 7 | 6.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LEAN HERO B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 1 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 9.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER TT E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 5 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-15 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. NOBLE PURSUIT, ridden by A Badel and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/2, with TURIN MASCOT second and FLAMINGO TRILLION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite FLAMINGO TRILLION finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 24.4% | 4.10 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 17.5% | 5.71 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 14.4% | 6.93 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | LEAN HERO | 8.3% | 12.06 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | TURIN MASCOT | 6.8% | 14.79 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY | 5.6% | 18.01 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 5.0% | 20.03 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | HAMERON | 4.4% | 22.51 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER | 4.3% | 23.30 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 4.0% | 24.73 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 3.5% | 28.30 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | ACCOLADE START | 1.8% | 57.06 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 47.5
PLACE
3 28
11 18
12 17.5
QUINELLA
3,12 184.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 74
3,12 69
11,12 43
FORECAST
12,3 316
TIERCE
12,3,11 1,367
TRIO
3,11,12 340
FIRST 4
3,5,11,12 2,363
QUARTET
12,3,11,5 37,396
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
2/3/3 5,559
2/3/12 18,544
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,4/3,11,12 85,647
8TH DOUBLE
3/3 548
3/12 2,363
SIX UP
1,11/1,3/2,3/2,9/2,3/3,12 38,580
13 [K W Lui] —
2 [K Teetan] —