Happy Valley · 2024-02-15 · 14:24
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-15 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN EMPIRE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with NICCONI COUNTY second and ACT OF FAITH third. The 2.3 favourite RIGHTEOUS ARION finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B 1.10.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | NICCONI COUNTY XB/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 6 | 9.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | ACT OF FAITH B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 6.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 2.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | MEGA BONUS V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 34.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 8 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | HOSS B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 1 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | PRINCE OF PORTY CP/TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 5.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 11 | 29.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | CONTI CONTI B1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 5 | 58.0 | 13-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 25.9% | 3.86 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 15.6% | 6.42 | 9 |
| 3 | 11 | READY TO WIN | 12.7% | 7.89 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | NICCONI COUNTY | 9.0% | 11.08 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | HOSS | 8.4% | 11.96 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | ACT OF FAITH | 8.1% | 12.30 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 5.9% | 16.99 | 10 |
| 8 | 10 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 4.3% | 23.02 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 4.2% | 23.89 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | MEGA BONUS | 3.4% | 29.77 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | CONTI CONTI | 2.6% | 39.02 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 189
PLACE
2 21.5
3 59
4 18.5
QUINELLA
2,3 897.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 222.5
2,4 63
3,4 189
FORECAST
3,2 1,871
TIERCE
3,2,4 10,177
TRIO
2,3,4 1,310
FIRST 4
2,3,4,8 492
QUARTET
3,2,4,8 19,816
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
2/2 268
2/3 2,634