Happy Valley · 2024-02-15 · 19:48
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE Wire to wire 1.41.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 7 | 5.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | BRAVE WITNESS Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 8.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 9 | 5.5 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | KIMBERLEY PC-/B2/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 12 | 23.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 3.6 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | CHATEAU Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 10 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 9.7 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR SR1/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | KEEN UNITY CP-/V1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | FIGHT TIME B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 21.0 | 12 |
| — | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CORDYCEPS ONE, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C H Yip, won by 2-1/2, with BRAVE WITNESS second and JOYFUL PROSPERITY third. The winner led throughout. The 3.6 favourite CAPITAL LEGEND finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 19.1% | 5.22 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 17.1% | 5.84 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | BRAVE WITNESS | 11.6% | 8.58 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 10.2% | 9.82 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 8.6% | 11.61 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | CHATEAU | 7.4% | 13.52 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | FIGHT TIME | 6.5% | 15.47 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR | 6.1% | 16.51 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | KIMBERLEY | 4.8% | 20.65 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | KEEN UNITY | 4.6% | 21.94 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 4.0% | 25.20 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 58
PLACE
4 28
7 21
11 19
QUINELLA
4,11 216.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 83
4,11 80.5
7,11 64.5
FORECAST
11,4 426
TIERCE
11,4,7 2,597
TRIO
4,7,11 461
FIRST 4
2,4,7,11 2,973
QUARTET
11,4,7,2 58,824
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,8/4,7,11 15,176
2ND DOUBLE
2/4 106.5
2/11 655