Happy Valley · 2024-02-15 · 12:17
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUPER EAGLE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with GOLDEN LONG second and VALHALLA third. The 3.2 favourite FLYING PHANTOM finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SUPER EAGLE TT 1.10.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 4.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | GOLDEN LONG TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | VALHALLA XB/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 8 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | RAGNARR TT2 L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 2 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | FLYING PHANTOM H Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 3.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB Y L Chung · D J Hall | Y L Chung | D J Hall | 1 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 9 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | HERO STAR TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | EVER VICTORIOUS XB B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 11 | 128.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | HO HO STAR B-/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 10 | 42.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 5 | TALENTS SUPREMO A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FLYING PHANTOM | 23.0% | 4.35 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER EAGLE | 22.8% | 4.39 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | GOLDEN LONG | 11.2% | 8.93 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL | 8.6% | 11.63 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | HAPPY SOUL | 7.1% | 14.01 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 7.1% | 14.13 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | VALHALLA | 7.1% | 14.17 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | HERO STAR | 6.2% | 16.21 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | RAGNARR | 2.4% | 42.14 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | HO HO STAR | 2.4% | 42.30 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | EVER VICTORIOUS | 2.2% | 44.60 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 45
PLACE
1 16
10 41.5
11 17
QUINELLA
1,11 81
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 159.5
1,11 33
10,11 110.5
FORECAST
11,1 209
TIERCE
11,1,10 2,498
TRIO
1,10,11 532
FIRST 4
1,2,10,11 2,160
QUARTET
11,1,10,2 41,550
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
11/1 40.5
11/11 299