Happy Valley · 2024-02-15 · 10:43
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-15 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GENERAL ACE, ridden by K De Melo and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with VIVA A LA second and TACTICAL COMMAND third. The 3.2 favourite GREAT DAYS finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GENERAL ACE CP 1.10.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 8 | 22.0 | N |
| 2 | 12 | VIVA A LA B/H/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 7.1 | N |
| 3 | 4 | TACTICAL COMMAND CP-/B1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER ELITE CP/H M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 6 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | WIND SPEEDER B Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 3 | 5.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | GREAT DAYS H/PC/XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 3.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | MORE RICE B L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 5 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI TT B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 11 | 47.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 2 | 6.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V E C W Wong · W Y So | E C W Wong | W Y So | 9 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | AUGUST MOON BO/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 12 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | CALL ME TEDDY B-/SR-/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 4 | 32.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GREAT DAYS | 34.6% | 2.89 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | WIND SPEEDER | 15.0% | 6.69 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | GOODMANSHIP | 8.2% | 12.17 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | AUGUST MOON | 7.8% | 12.81 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | VIVA A LA | 6.7% | 15.02 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 6.3% | 15.90 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 4.3% | 23.37 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | SUPER ELITE | 4.0% | 24.91 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 3.8% | 26.46 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | MORE RICE | 3.4% | 29.42 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | GENERAL ACE | 3.1% | 31.85 | 1 |
| 12 | 11 | CALL ME TEDDY | 2.8% | 35.11 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 221.5
PLACE
4 46
8 65.5
12 25.5
QUINELLA
8,12 984.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 710.5
4,12 255
8,12 279
FORECAST
8,12 2,233
TIERCE
8,12,4 43,239
TRIO
4,8,12 6,704
FIRST 4
3,4,8,12 17,746
QUARTET
8,12,4,3 439,950