Happy Valley · 2024-02-15 · 11:13
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CHARITY BINGO, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with RED MAJESTY second and ATOMIC BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite ATOMIC BEAUTY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHARITY BINGO Closed strongly 1.41.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 8 | 5.7 | N |
| 2 | 3 | RED MAJESTY B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 5.9 | N |
| 3 | 8 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Closed strongly V/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 3.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 11 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | CHEONG FAT Closed strongly H/PC L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 6 | 8.7 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | NOT A FEW SR/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 3 | 32.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | AROMATICA TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly B-/XB1/TT- H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 2 | 9.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | THE CONCENTRATION CP1 B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 9 | 76.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | RED MAVERICK Led early P-/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 109.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | TIGER AND GOLD B1 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 39.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | CLUB SODA P A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 7.1 | 16 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 24.6% | 4.07 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 12.6% | 7.94 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | TO INFINITY | 11.5% | 8.68 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | CHEONG FAT | 10.9% | 9.19 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | CLUB SODA | 10.2% | 9.81 | 12 |
| 6 | 3 | RED MAJESTY | 9.7% | 10.35 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | AROMATICA | 8.1% | 12.40 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | CHARITY BINGO | 4.4% | 22.77 | 1 |
| 9 | 10 | THE CONCENTRATION | 3.4% | 29.59 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | TIGER AND GOLD | 3.0% | 33.15 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | NOT A FEW | 1.1% | 87.51 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | RED MAVERICK | 0.6% | 170.15 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 57.5
PLACE
2 22
3 19
8 15
QUINELLA
2,3 154
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 56.5
2,8 42
3,8 39.5
FORECAST
2,3 347
TIERCE
2,3,8 1,273
TRIO
2,3,8 172
FIRST 4
2,3,7,8 590
QUARTET
2,3,8,7 11,752
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/2 2,769
8/3 418