Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2024-02-15 · 19:11

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.41.07
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CHARITY BINGO Closed strongly 1.41.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · C S Shum 8 5.7 N
2 0 RED MAJESTY B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 5 5.9 N
3 0 ATOMIC BEAUTY Closed strongly V/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 10 3.1 2-1/4
4 0 TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards 11 20.0 2-3/4
5 0 CHEONG FAT Closed strongly H/PC L Hewitson · C W Chang 6 8.7 3
6 0 NOT A FEW SR/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte 3 32.0 4
7 0 AROMATICA TT K C Leung · W Y So 1 17.0 4-1/2
8 0 INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly B-/XB1/TT- H Bentley · C Fownes 2 9.0 4-3/4
9 0 THE CONCENTRATION CP1 B Thompson · P F Yiu 9 76.0 6-1/4
10 0 RED MAVERICK Led early P-/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui 12 109.0 13-3/4
11 0 TIGER AND GOLD B1 A Hamelin · C H Yip 4 39.0 14-3/4
12 0 CLUB SODA P A Atzeni · J Size 7 7.1 16

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CHARITY BINGO, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with RED MAJESTY second and ATOMIC BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite ATOMIC BEAUTY finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHARITY BINGO—2. RED MAJESTY+0.05L3. ATOMIC BEAUTY+2.25L4. TO INFINITY+2.75L5. CHEONG FAT+3L6. NOT A FEW+4L7. AROMATICA+4.5L8. INVINCIBLE MISSILE+4.75L9. THE CONCENTRATION+6.25L10. RED MAVERICK+13.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick ATOMIC BEAUTY (24.6%) finished 3rd — the winner CHARITY BINGO was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ATOMIC BEAUTY 24.6% 4.07 3
2 0 INVINCIBLE MISSILE 12.6% 7.94 8
3 0 TO INFINITY 11.5% 8.68 4
4 0 CHEONG FAT 10.9% 9.19 5
5 0 CLUB SODA 10.2% 9.81 12
6 0 RED MAJESTY 9.7% 10.35 2
7 0 AROMATICA 8.1% 12.40 7
8 0 CHARITY BINGO 4.4% 22.77 1
9 0 THE CONCENTRATION 3.4% 29.59 9
10 0 TIGER AND GOLD 3.0% 33.15 11
11 0 NOT A FEW 1.1% 87.51 6
12 0 RED MAVERICK 0.6% 170.15 10
ATOMIC BEAUTYINVINCIBLE MISSILETO INFINITYCHEONG FATCLUB SODARED MAJESTYAROMATICACHARITY BINGO — wonTHE CONCENTRATIONTIGER AND GOLDNOT A FEWRED MAVERICK

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 57.5

PLACE

2 22

3 19

8 15

QUINELLA

2,3 154

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 56.5

2,8 42

3,8 39.5

FORECAST

2,3 347

TIERCE

2,3,8 1,273

TRIO

2,3,8 172

FIRST 4

2,3,7,8 590

QUARTET

2,3,8,7 11,752

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

8/2 2,769

8/3 418