沙田 · 2024-02-18 · 07:06
第 5場
2024-02-18沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、J Richards訓練的G LINER勝出，贏出3/4。MAYHEM獲得亞軍；BEAR SLAM獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以4.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | G LINER 一路領先 H/P/XB/TT 1.39.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 4 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | MAYHEM 後段發力 H M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 1 | 7.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | BEAR SLAM 後段發力 XB A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 12 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | AMAZING TEENS 後段發力 H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | FAST VICTORY 後段發力 CP1 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 10 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | MISSION BRAVO 後段發力 B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | BLISSFUL STAR B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 3 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | LUCKY BANNER H/P1/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 9 | 13.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HARRY'S HERO 後段發力 H/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 33.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | WINNING SEVEN B/XB/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 5 | 51.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 6 | BONUS PAL V-/PC1 E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 13 | 58.0 | 19-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | SIR HURRICANE CP-/P1 B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 2 | 156.0 | 23-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | VIVA HUNTER TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 6.2 | 42-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | G LINER | 17.1% | 5.83 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | VIVA HUNTER | 15.0% | 6.68 | 14 |
| 3 | 7 | MISSION BRAVO | 11.6% | 8.62 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | BLISSFUL STAR | 10.1% | 9.94 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | LUCKY BANNER | 9.1% | 11.02 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 8.6% | 11.64 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | AMAZING TEENS | 7.1% | 14.03 | 4 |
| 8 | 13 | MAYHEM | 6.3% | 15.87 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | BEAR SLAM | 5.4% | 18.35 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | HARRY'S HERO | 4.9% | 20.30 | 10 |
| 11 | 14 | WINNING SEVEN | 2.1% | 47.34 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | FAST VICTORY | 1.1% | 93.62 | 5 |
| 13 | 6 | BONUS PAL | 1.1% | 93.69 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | SIR HURRICANE | 0.5% | 198.08 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 41.5
PLACE
4 58
12 17.5
13 26
QUINELLA
12,13 180.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,12 178.5
4,13 286
12,13 67.5
FORECAST
12,13 326
TIERCE
12,13,4 5,797
TRIO
4,12,13 1,305
FIRST 4
2,4,12,13 5,600
QUARTET
12,13,4,2 91,969
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
6/1/12 3,136
6/1/13 1,347
4TH DOUBLE
1/12 175.5
1/13 79.5