Sha Tin · 2024-02-18 · 07:06
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-18 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. G LINER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Richards, won by 3/4, with MAYHEM second and BEAR SLAM third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | G LINER Wire to wire H/P/XB/TT 1.39.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 4 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | MAYHEM Closed strongly H M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 1 | 7.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | BEAR SLAM Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 12 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | FAST VICTORY Closed strongly CP1 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 10 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | MISSION BRAVO Closed strongly B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | BLISSFUL STAR B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 3 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | LUCKY BANNER H/P1/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 9 | 13.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly H/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 33.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | WINNING SEVEN B/XB/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 5 | 51.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 6 | BONUS PAL V-/PC1 E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 13 | 58.0 | 19-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | SIR HURRICANE CP-/P1 B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 2 | 156.0 | 23-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | VIVA HUNTER TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 6.2 | 42-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | G LINER | 17.1% | 5.83 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | VIVA HUNTER | 15.0% | 6.68 | 14 |
| 3 | 7 | MISSION BRAVO | 11.6% | 8.62 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | BLISSFUL STAR | 10.1% | 9.94 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | LUCKY BANNER | 9.1% | 11.02 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 8.6% | 11.64 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | AMAZING TEENS | 7.1% | 14.03 | 4 |
| 8 | 13 | MAYHEM | 6.3% | 15.87 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | BEAR SLAM | 5.4% | 18.35 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | HARRY'S HERO | 4.9% | 20.30 | 10 |
| 11 | 14 | WINNING SEVEN | 2.1% | 47.34 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | FAST VICTORY | 1.1% | 93.62 | 5 |
| 13 | 6 | BONUS PAL | 1.1% | 93.69 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | SIR HURRICANE | 0.5% | 198.08 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 41.5
PLACE
4 58
12 17.5
13 26
QUINELLA
12,13 180.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,12 178.5
4,13 286
12,13 67.5
FORECAST
12,13 326
TIERCE
12,13,4 5,797
TRIO
4,12,13 1,305
FIRST 4
2,4,12,13 5,600
QUARTET
12,13,4,2 91,969
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
6/1/12 3,136
6/1/13 1,347
4TH DOUBLE
1/12 175.5
1/13 79.5