Sha Tin · 2024-02-18 · 05:32
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-18 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CHATEAUNEUF, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with GREAT SPIRIT second and SEIZING THE MOMENT third. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHATEAUNEUF TT1 1.09.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | GREAT SPIRIT TT1 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 2 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | SEIZING THE MOMENT PC-/B2 A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 6 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | COPARTNER PRANCE TT K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 8 | 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | MASSIVE TALENT CP/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 5 | 9.1 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | SEA SAPPHIRE CP-/PC1 A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 7 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | COMPASSION SUPER XB-/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 4 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | NEVER PETER OUT B1 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 3 | 84.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 12 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | COMMANDING MISSILE V-/B2/H2 M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 9 | 60.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | ROBOT KNIGHT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 9.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND H/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 11 | 17.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 0 | FUN N GLORY L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHATEAUNEUF | 32.4% | 3.09 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | MASSIVE TALENT | 9.7% | 10.34 | 5 |
| 3 | 9 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 9.0% | 11.05 | 11 |
| 4 | 4 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 8.3% | 11.99 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | GREAT SPIRIT | 7.3% | 13.75 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 7.1% | 14.09 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | NEVER PETER OUT | 5.8% | 17.10 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND | 5.4% | 18.46 | 12 |
| 9 | 11 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 5.3% | 18.92 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 5.0% | 19.81 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 2.9% | 34.35 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | COMPASSION SUPER | 1.7% | 59.97 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 31
PLACE
3 51
5 16
6 32.5
QUINELLA
5,6 192
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 98
3,6 239
5,6 71
FORECAST
5,6 281
TIERCE
5,6,3 3,680
TRIO
3,5,6 982
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 680
QUARTET
5,6,3,4 16,359
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/5 215
1/6 112
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,7/3,5,6 29,632