Sha Tin · 2024-02-18 · 16:43
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB 1.22.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 3 | 8.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPERB BOY Closed strongly TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 4 | 7.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | DROMBEG BANNER Led early A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 1 | 8.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GUMMY GUMMY Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 7.6 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ALACRITY Closed strongly PC/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 9 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | YOUTHFUL DEAL Closed strongly SR/TT B Thompson · F C Lor | B Thompson | F C Lor | 5 | 63.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FIND MY LOVE Closed strongly H/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 10 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | KEEFY B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 49.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 2 | 87.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SILVER KING TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 12 | 26.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP/TT Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 6 | 48.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | GLOBAL HARMONY CP-/B1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 2.2 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-18 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ATULLIBIGEAL, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D J Hall, won by 3/4, with SUPERB BOY second and DROMBEG BANNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite GLOBAL HARMONY did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GUMMY GUMMY | 22.1% | 4.52 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPERB BOY | 17.9% | 5.59 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ALACRITY | 13.1% | 7.63 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | DROMBEG BANNER | 12.7% | 7.90 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 6.6% | 15.05 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 5.7% | 17.64 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | SILVER KING | 5.5% | 18.20 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 5.1% | 19.49 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO | 5.1% | 19.76 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | KEEFY | 3.2% | 31.54 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | FIND MY LOVE | 3.1% | 32.75 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 82.5
PLACE
2 26.5
3 22.5
9 21.5
QUINELLA
3,9 213.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 89.5
2,9 79.5
3,9 65
FORECAST
3,9 466
TIERCE
3,9,2 2,773
TRIO
2,3,9 396
FIRST 4
2,3,5,9 549
QUARTET
3,9,2,5 13,733
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,8/2,3,9 218,172
7TH DOUBLE
8/3 1,025.5
8/9 167.5