Sha Tin · 2024-02-18 · 06:32
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-18 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. JAMES TAK, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with YOU'REMYEVERYTHING second and SKY TRUST third. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JAMES TAK 1.10.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 2.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 37.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | SKY TRUST H1/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 12 | 26.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | SILVER DESTINY TT1 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 10 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | GIMME FIVE M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | NEW POWER H M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | LUCKY CHARM TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 1 | 86.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY FIONN TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 4 | 6.6 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | GOLDEN ONE V1/TT1 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 9 | 43.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | REGENT GLORY B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | SPEEDY FORTUNE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 3.1 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | NISHIKADO P-/B2 B Thompson · Y S Tsui | B Thompson | Y S Tsui | 5 | 26.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JAMES TAK | 28.5% | 3.51 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 13.2% | 7.55 | 11 |
| 3 | 6 | SILVER DESTINY | 10.0% | 9.99 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | GIMME FIVE | 8.9% | 11.23 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | REGENT GLORY | 7.3% | 13.77 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | LUCKY FIONN | 6.8% | 14.65 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | SKY TRUST | 6.2% | 16.07 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 5.1% | 19.63 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | NISHIKADO | 4.7% | 21.12 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | NEW POWER | 4.3% | 23.39 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | GOLDEN ONE | 4.2% | 23.76 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY CHARM | 0.7% | 139.43 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 29
PLACE
1 13.5
2 99.5
7 67
QUINELLA
1,2 771.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 231.5
1,7 175
2,7 809
FORECAST
1,2 1,188
TIERCE
1,2,7 19,632
TRIO
1,2,7 2,921
FIRST 4
1,2,6,7 6,232
QUARTET
1,2,7,6 118,522
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,12/F 24,633
3RD DOUBLE
6/1 491
6/2 793