Sha Tin · 2024-02-18 · 09:54
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-18 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ADEFILL, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with MASSIVE ACTION second and YELLOWFIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite FRANTANCK finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ADEFILL Closed strongly B 1.38.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | MASSIVE ACTION Led early SR/V K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | YELLOWFIN Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 6.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | FRANTANCK Closed strongly H1 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 2 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | AMAZING DUCK CP M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 10 | 35.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | FIERY DIAMOND V- C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/TT A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 7 | 9.8 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B-/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 1 | 6.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | LESLIE Closed strongly B-/PC1 K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 12 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | TRUE LEGEND B-/CP2/TT B Thompson · W K Mo | B Thompson | W K Mo | 6 | 64.0 | 19 |
| 11 | 13 | NORDIC STAR B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 21.0 | 22 |
| — | 5 | PERFECT TEAM E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 7 | BEAUTYVERSE B-/H-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 20.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FRANTANCK | 34.1% | 2.93 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | YELLOWFIN | 15.5% | 6.45 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | ADEFILL | 10.8% | 9.23 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | SO WE JOY | 7.3% | 13.79 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 6.2% | 16.26 | 8 |
| 6 | 13 | NORDIC STAR | 5.6% | 17.87 | 11 |
| 7 | 10 | MASSIVE ACTION | 4.8% | 20.93 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | AMAZING DUCK | 4.7% | 21.48 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | LESLIE | 4.4% | 22.58 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | FIERY DIAMOND | 4.4% | 22.79 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | TRUE LEGEND | 2.3% | 43.02 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 52
PLACE
2 21.5
3 17
10 47.5
QUINELLA
3,10 458.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 47.5
2,10 205.5
3,10 148.5
FORECAST
3,10 808
TIERCE
3,10,2 7,430
TRIO
2,3,10 983
FIRST 4
2,3,10,12 708
QUARTET
3,10,2,12 23,706
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
3/6/3 5,339
3/6/10 3,992
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,7/2,3,10 40,442
9TH DOUBLE
6/3 966
6/10 504
SIX UP
12/1/8/3/6/3 1,790,289
12,13/1,8/6,8/3,9/6,7/3,10 114,694
2 [K Teetan] —
1 [J Size] —