Sha Tin · 2024-02-18 · 08:16
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-18 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. VICTORY MOMENTS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/2, with GOOD BUDDY second and SMOKEY BEAR third. The 4.7 favourite SKY FOREVER finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VICTORY MOMENTS SR/TT 1.08.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | GOOD BUDDY B/TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | SMOKEY BEAR B/XB/TT Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 12 | 7.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | TORONADO PHANTOM P2/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 8.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | SKY FOREVER B/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 5 | 4.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | MARK THE MOMENT V/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 5.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SPORTS LEGEND TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 4 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | BABY CRYSTAL B/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 8 | 6.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | ARMOUR EAGLE B-/XB/PC1/TT E C W Wong · J Richards | E C W Wong | J Richards | 2 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH H-/TT B Thompson · W K Mo | B Thompson | W K Mo | 1 | 43.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 9 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | GOLDENFIELD P1/TT1 K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 3 | 30.0 | 24-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BABY CRYSTAL | 19.5% | 5.12 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | SMOKEY BEAR | 11.5% | 8.70 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | MARK THE MOMENT | 11.1% | 8.97 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | SKY FOREVER | 9.0% | 11.10 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 8.5% | 11.73 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | GOOD BUDDY | 7.8% | 12.90 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 7.2% | 13.81 | 1 |
| 8 | 4 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 6.9% | 14.48 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | MONTA FRUTTA | 6.3% | 15.99 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | SPORTS LEGEND | 4.3% | 23.40 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH | 4.1% | 24.33 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | GOLDENFIELD | 3.7% | 26.82 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 146.5
PLACE
3 24
6 50
8 42
QUINELLA
6,8 1,117
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 204
3,8 166.5
6,8 325
FORECAST
8,6 2,061
TIERCE
8,6,3 16,250
TRIO
3,6,8 2,574
FIRST 4
3,4,6,8 3,454
QUARTET
8,6,3,4 100,360
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
1/6 276.5
1/8 1,063.5