Sha Tin · 2024-02-18 · 09:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-18 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. PACKING HURRICANE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C Fownes, won by 2, with SIMPLY MAVERICK second and THE BEST PEACH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite SIMPLE HEDGE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE Closed strongly B/TT 1.48.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 1 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | SIMPLY MAVERICK Closed strongly A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 11 | 3.8 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 5.1 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | ENIGMA Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | GALLANT HERO Closed strongly A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 2.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | DEVILDOM Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 36.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | MOMENTS IN TIME Led early TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 4 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | LOOKING GREAT TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 48.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | HAKKA RADIANCE H/TT B Thompson · W K Mo | B Thompson | W K Mo | 9 | 130.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | WOODFIRE BRO TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 3 | 6.6 | 50 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 27.0% | 3.70 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 20.6% | 4.87 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | THE BEST PEACH | 14.6% | 6.84 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE | 13.5% | 7.39 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | WOODFIRE BRO | 8.8% | 11.41 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | GALLANT HERO | 5.5% | 18.09 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | DEVILDOM | 3.0% | 33.78 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 2.8% | 35.17 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | LOOKING GREAT | 2.0% | 49.10 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | ENIGMA | 1.6% | 64.02 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 0.6% | 164.75 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 163
PLACE
1 17.5
6 32.5
7 15
QUINELLA
6,7 317.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 100
1,7 43.5
6,7 102
FORECAST
6,7 821
TIERCE
6,7,1 4,914
TRIO
1,6,7 450
FIRST 4
1,6,7,9 1,320
QUARTET
6,7,1,9 45,662
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
3/6 1,109
3/7 65