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Sha Tin · 2024-02-18 · 17:18

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1800m Course C+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.48.22
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PACKING HURRICANE Closed strongly B/TT 1.48.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C Fownes 1 16.0 2
2 0 SIMPLY MAVERICK Closed strongly A Atzeni · P F Yiu 11 3.8 2
3 0 THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 2 5.1 2
4 0 ENIGMA Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 16.0 3
5 0 GALLANT HERO Closed strongly A Badel · D J Hall 8 23.0 3-1/4
6 0 SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly B Z Purton · J Size 10 2.8 3-3/4
7 0 DEVILDOM Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung 7 36.0 4-1/2
8 0 MOMENTS IN TIME Led early TT L Ferraris · C S Shum 4 30.0 5-1/2
9 0 LOOKING GREAT TT M F Poon · F C Lor 5 48.0 10-1/4
10 0 HAKKA RADIANCE H/TT B Thompson · W K Mo 9 130.0 12-1/4
11 0 WOODFIRE BRO TT K C Leung · C W Chang 3 6.6 50

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-18 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. PACKING HURRICANE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C Fownes, won by 2, with SIMPLY MAVERICK second and THE BEST PEACH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite SIMPLE HEDGE finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PACKING HURRICANE—2. SIMPLY MAVERICK+2L3. THE BEST PEACH+2L4. ENIGMA+3L5. GALLANT HERO+3.25L6. SIMPLE HEDGE+3.75L7. DEVILDOM+4.5L8. MOMENTS IN TIME+5.5L9. LOOKING GREAT+10.25L10. HAKKA RADIANCE+12.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick SIMPLY MAVERICK (27.0%) finished 2nd — the winner PACKING HURRICANE was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SIMPLY MAVERICK 27.0% 3.70 2
2 0 SIMPLE HEDGE 20.6% 4.87 6
3 0 THE BEST PEACH 14.6% 6.84 3
4 0 PACKING HURRICANE 13.5% 7.39 1
5 0 WOODFIRE BRO 8.8% 11.41 11
6 0 GALLANT HERO 5.5% 18.09 5
7 0 DEVILDOM 3.0% 33.78 7
8 0 MOMENTS IN TIME 2.8% 35.17 8
9 0 LOOKING GREAT 2.0% 49.10 9
10 0 ENIGMA 1.6% 64.02 4
11 0 HAKKA RADIANCE 0.6% 164.75 10
SIMPLY MAVERICKSIMPLE HEDGETHE BEST PEACHPACKING HURRICANE — wonWOODFIRE BROGALLANT HERODEVILDOMMOMENTS IN TIMELOOKING GREATENIGMAHAKKA RADIANCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 163

PLACE

1 17.5

6 32.5

7 15

QUINELLA

6,7 317.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 100

1,7 43.5

6,7 102

FORECAST

6,7 821

TIERCE

6,7,1 4,914

TRIO

1,6,7 450

FIRST 4

1,6,7,9 1,320

QUARTET

6,7,1,9 45,662

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

3/6 1,109

3/7 65