Sha Tin · 2024-02-18 · 05:03
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-18 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. STARSHIP EIGHTY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/4, with DIAMOND WINNER second and GREEN LASER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite JOYFUL CHAMPION finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly PC/TT 1.49.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | GREEN LASER Closed strongly PC/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER HORNET B/XB/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 11 | 32.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 2 | 3.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | BROTHER PEARL Closed strongly C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 7 | 5.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | FASTPASS B/SR/XB L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 9 | 25.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | GENERAL WINNER CP/H2/TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 3 | 8.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | MISTER ARM Led early H H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 56.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | COPARTNER ERA B K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 6 | 10.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | HAPPIHOOD CP/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 5 | 44.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 17.6% | 5.67 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 16.6% | 6.02 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | DIAMOND WINNER | 15.1% | 6.64 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | GENERAL WINNER | 11.4% | 8.81 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | COPARTNER ERA | 9.0% | 11.07 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | BROTHER PEARL | 9.0% | 11.07 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | GREEN LASER | 8.6% | 11.66 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | FASTPASS | 4.3% | 23.34 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPER HORNET | 3.8% | 26.63 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | HAPPIHOOD | 2.8% | 35.15 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | MISTER ARM | 1.8% | 54.97 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 64.5
PLACE
1 21
6 17.5
7 47
QUINELLA
1,6 129.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 46
1,7 149
6,7 121.5
FORECAST
1,6 335
TIERCE
1,6,7 2,328
TRIO
1,6,7 376
FIRST 4
1,6,7,11 2,456
QUARTET
1,6,7,11 44,526