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Sha Tin · 2024-02-18 · 13:01

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1800m Course C+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.49.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly PC/TT 1.49.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng 10 6.4 1-1/4
2 0 DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly H A Hamelin · J Size 4 4.3 1-1/4
3 0 GREEN LASER Closed strongly PC/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 1 18.0 1-1/4
4 0 SUPER HORNET B/XB/TT M Chadwick · J Richards 11 32.0 2-1/2
5 0 JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang 2 3.8 3-1/4
6 0 BROTHER PEARL Closed strongly C L Chau · C H Yip 7 5.4 4-3/4
7 0 FASTPASS B/SR/XB L Ferraris · K W Lui 9 25.0 6
8 0 GENERAL WINNER CP/H2/TT B Thompson · W Y So 3 8.9 6-1/2
9 0 MISTER ARM Led early H H T Mo · Y S Tsui 8 56.0 7-1/2
10 0 COPARTNER ERA B K C Leung · W Y So 6 10.0 8-3/4
11 0 HAPPIHOOD CP/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo 5 44.0 9-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-18 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. STARSHIP EIGHTY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/4, with DIAMOND WINNER second and GREEN LASER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite JOYFUL CHAMPION finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STARSHIP EIGHTY—2. DIAMOND WINNER+1.25L3. GREEN LASER+1.25L4. SUPER HORNET+2.5L5. JOYFUL CHAMPION+3.25L6. BROTHER PEARL+4.75L7. FASTPASS+6L8. GENERAL WINNER+6.5L9. MISTER ARM+7.5L10. COPARTNER ERA+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick JOYFUL CHAMPION (17.6%) finished 5th — the winner STARSHIP EIGHTY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 JOYFUL CHAMPION 17.6% 5.67 5
2 0 STARSHIP EIGHTY 16.6% 6.02 1
3 0 DIAMOND WINNER 15.1% 6.64 2
4 0 GENERAL WINNER 11.4% 8.81 8
5 0 COPARTNER ERA 9.0% 11.07 10
6 0 BROTHER PEARL 9.0% 11.07 6
7 0 GREEN LASER 8.6% 11.66 3
8 0 FASTPASS 4.3% 23.34 7
9 0 SUPER HORNET 3.8% 26.63 4
10 0 HAPPIHOOD 2.8% 35.15 11
11 0 MISTER ARM 1.8% 54.97 9
JOYFUL CHAMPIONSTARSHIP EIGHTY — wonDIAMOND WINNERGENERAL WINNERCOPARTNER ERABROTHER PEARLGREEN LASERFASTPASSSUPER HORNETHAPPIHOODMISTER ARM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 64.5

PLACE

1 21

6 17.5

7 47

QUINELLA

1,6 129.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 46

1,7 149

6,7 121.5

FORECAST

1,6 335

TIERCE

1,6,7 2,328

TRIO

1,6,7 376

FIRST 4

1,6,7,11 2,456

QUARTET

1,6,7,11 44,526