Sha Tin · 2024-02-18 · 06:03
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-18 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ONLY U, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by NOSE, with UNPRESUMING second and WINNING GOLD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite CELTIC TIMES finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ONLY U Closed strongly CP/TT 1.22.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 21.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 1 | UNPRESUMING Closed strongly B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 9.8 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | WINNING GOLD Closed strongly H/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 13 | 118.0 | N |
| 4 | 7 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 10 | 2.8 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | ALL RICHES CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SHOW RESPECT XB B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 9 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | AMAZING RUN Led early CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | ROUND THE EARTH Closed strongly B- L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 2 | 38.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | FRUITY WARRIOR Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 3 | 9.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | PODIUM Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 14 | 50.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | TRAVEL GOLF V-/TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 4 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | KINGLY DEMEANOR B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 77.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 11 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | SUNNY SHINES B1 M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 6 | 162.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CELTIC TIMES | 16.4% | 6.11 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | AMAZING RUN | 14.5% | 6.88 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | TRAVEL GOLF | 11.8% | 8.48 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 10.8% | 9.24 | 13 |
| 5 | 3 | ROUND THE EARTH | 8.2% | 12.23 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | SHOW RESPECT | 8.1% | 12.37 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | UNPRESUMING | 7.7% | 12.92 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | FRUITY WARRIOR | 6.8% | 14.77 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | ALL RICHES | 6.3% | 15.90 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | PODIUM | 3.2% | 31.11 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | ONLY U | 2.2% | 44.65 | 1 |
| 12 | 12 | WINNING GOLD | 2.0% | 50.98 | 3 |
| 13 | 10 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 1.1% | 94.96 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | SUNNY SHINES | 1.0% | 104.36 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 217
PLACE
1 33.5
6 49
12 262.5
QUINELLA
1,6 929
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 267
1,12 1,641.5
6,12 2,163
FORECAST
6,1 2,338
TIERCE
6,1,12 182,165
TRIO
1,6,12 21,537
FIRST 4
1,6,7,12 20,907
QUARTET
6,1,12,7 857,922
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/1 74
5/6 579