跑馬地 · 2024-02-21 · 13:47
第 7場
2024-02-21跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Avdulla策騎、A S Cruz訓練的WINNING DRAGON勝出，贏出NOSE。LOVERO獲得亞軍；RED HARE KING獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.6倍大熱門RED HARE KING跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WINNING DRAGON 後段發力 B/H/TT 1.39.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 9 | LOVERO 後段發力 TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.5 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | RED HARE KING 後段發力 TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.6 | SH |
| 4 | 8 | ESCAPE ROUTE 後段發力 H H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 9 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | GALAXY WITNESS 後段發力 K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 7 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | STAR CONTACT 後段發力 CP/TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 10 | 35.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | PRIME MINISTER 後段發力 TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | TOURBILLON PRINCE 早段領放 TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 8 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | LOYAL BABY 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 12 | 93.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | I AM THE BOSS XB-/B B Thompson · K W Lui | B Thompson | K W Lui | 1 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | MASTER OF FORTUNE PC-/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 11 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | RED HARE KING | 26.7% | 3.74 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | LOVERO | 15.4% | 6.48 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | GALAXY WITNESS | 9.9% | 10.07 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 9.1% | 10.94 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 8.9% | 11.24 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 8.5% | 11.75 | 12 |
| 7 | 10 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 5.2% | 19.22 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | WINNING DRAGON | 4.5% | 22.12 | 1 |
| 9 | 2 | PRIME MINISTER | 3.8% | 26.18 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | STAR CONTACT | 3.4% | 29.27 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | I AM THE BOSS | 3.2% | 31.20 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | LOYAL BABY | 1.2% | 84.24 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 120.5
PLACE
5 37.5
9 22.5
12 13
QUINELLA
5,9 434
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 129.5
5,12 63
9,12 37.5
FORECAST
5,9 946
TIERCE
5,9,12 2,179
TRIO
5,9,12 278
FIRST 4
5,8,9,12 597
QUARTET
5,9,12,8 18,077
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/5,9,12 22,271
6TH DOUBLE
5/5 663.5
5/9 81
TRIPLE TRIO
7,10>2,4/1,5,7/5,9,12 926,959
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,10>2,4/1,5,7/Any Combination 3,198