Happy Valley · 2024-02-21 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.39.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | LOVERO Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.5 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.6 | SH |
| 4 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 9 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 7 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP/TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 10 | 35.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE Led early TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 8 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | LOYAL BABY Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 12 | 93.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | I AM THE BOSS XB-/B B Thompson · K W Lui | B Thompson | K W Lui | 1 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | MASTER OF FORTUNE PC-/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 11 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-21 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. WINNING DRAGON, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by NOSE, with LOVERO second and RED HARE KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite RED HARE KING finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED HARE KING | 26.7% | 3.74 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | LOVERO | 15.4% | 6.48 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS | 9.9% | 10.07 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 9.1% | 10.94 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 8.9% | 11.24 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 8.5% | 11.75 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 5.2% | 19.22 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON | 4.5% | 22.12 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER | 3.8% | 26.18 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 3.4% | 29.27 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | I AM THE BOSS | 3.2% | 31.20 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 1.2% | 84.24 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 120.5
PLACE
5 37.5
9 22.5
12 13
QUINELLA
5,9 434
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 129.5
5,12 63
9,12 37.5
FORECAST
5,9 946
TIERCE
5,9,12 2,179
TRIO
5,9,12 278
FIRST 4
5,8,9,12 597
QUARTET
5,9,12,8 18,077
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,7/5,9,12 22,271
6TH DOUBLE
5/5 663.5
5/9 81
TRIPLE TRIO
7,10>2,4/1,5,7/5,9,12 926,959
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,10>2,4/1,5,7/Any Combination 3,198