Happy Valley · 2024-02-21 · 20:11
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE TT 1.09.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 7 | 4.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | BUNDLE OF CHARM A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 5.6 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SON PAK FU BO C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 2.7 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | ADIOS TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B B Thompson · D J Whyte | B Thompson | D J Whyte | 8 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | DUKE WAI P A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 6 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | KURPANY B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 23.0 | 3 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-21 was Class 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TOMODACHI KOKOROE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by NOSE, with BUNDLE OF CHARM second and BEAUTY CHARGE third. The 2.7 favourite SON PAK FU finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 21.2% | 4.71 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 16.6% | 6.02 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 15.1% | 6.61 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SON PAK FU | 14.6% | 6.83 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | ADIOS | 12.7% | 7.88 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 7.3% | 13.63 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | KURPANY | 6.5% | 15.42 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | DUKE WAI | 5.9% | 17.02 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 40.5
PLACE
6 18
7 19.5
8 15.5
QUINELLA
6,8 110
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 43
6,8 38.5
7,8 40
FORECAST
8,6 231
TIERCE
8,6,7 904
TRIO
6,7,8 182
FIRST 4
3,6,7,8 79
QUARTET
8,6,7,3 2,406
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
3/6 55.5
3/8 272.5