Happy Valley · 2024-02-21 · 18:41
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT 1.09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 11 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | JOYFUL LIFE CP/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAU GOSSE B/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 2 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GLORY CLOUD TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 10 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | YEABOI B/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 6 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | KILINDINI XB1/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 12 | 9.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | HARMONY N HOME A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SAVVY CHIC B/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 5.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | PHILOS H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | BRAVO WARRIOR TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 5 | 77.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT B Thompson · K L Man | B Thompson | K L Man | 7 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE H/TT E C W Wong · C W Chang | E C W Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-21 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN LUCK, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K L Man, won by 1-3/4, with JOYFUL LIFE second and BEAU GOSSE third. The 3.1 favourite JOYFUL LIFE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOYFUL LIFE | 13.0% | 7.70 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HARMONY N HOME | 12.7% | 7.85 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | KILINDINI | 12.2% | 8.23 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | YEABOI | 11.0% | 9.13 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAU GOSSE | 10.6% | 9.44 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SAVVY CHIC | 10.0% | 10.03 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | GLORY CLOUD | 8.5% | 11.82 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 6.6% | 15.19 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN LUCK | 6.1% | 16.39 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE | 4.8% | 20.92 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | BRAVO WARRIOR | 2.8% | 36.20 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | PHILOS | 1.9% | 52.55 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 109
PLACE
8 37
9 15.5
12 16
QUINELLA
8,9 162
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 65
8,12 102.5
9,12 47
FORECAST
8,9 393
TIERCE
8,9,12 1,905
TRIO
8,9,12 302
FIRST 4
4,8,9,12 1,454
QUARTET
8,9,12,4 31,855