Happy Valley · 2024-02-21 · 13:14
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-21 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GALVANIC, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with SATIRICAL GLORY second and GALLANT VALOUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite SATIRICAL GLORY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GALVANIC Closed strongly TT 1.40.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 1 | 4.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | SATIRICAL GLORY Led early H B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 6 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | GALLANT VALOUR Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 12 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | DUBLIN STAR V/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 73.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 10 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | YOUNG VICTORY Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 5 | 66.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 8.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | MASTER HERO V-/XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | PERFETTO CP A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 2 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | NOBLE WIN E/XB M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 4 | 5.9 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | TOP TOP TEA B-/TT- E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | V LOVE YOU TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 8 | 39.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GALVANIC | 15.0% | 6.67 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 14.4% | 6.93 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | MASTER HERO | 13.5% | 7.41 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | PERFETTO | 13.4% | 7.47 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | NOBLE WIN | 11.0% | 9.06 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 11.0% | 9.08 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | GALLANT VALOUR | 10.7% | 9.37 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | TOP TOP TEA | 4.3% | 23.51 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | DUBLIN STAR | 2.4% | 41.71 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | AMAZING BOY | 1.8% | 54.35 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | V LOVE YOU | 1.3% | 75.87 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | YOUNG VICTORY | 1.2% | 86.76 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 46
PLACE
1 54
5 20.5
7 16.5
QUINELLA
5,7 104
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 161
1,7 135.5
5,7 42
FORECAST
5,7 195
TIERCE
5,7,1 2,759
TRIO
1,5,7 694
FIRST 4
1,5,7,11 7,413
QUARTET
5,7,1,11 97,154
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
2,4/5 192.5
2,4/7 21.5