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Happy Valley · 2024-02-21 · 21:13

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.05
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GALVANIC Closed strongly TT 1.40.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C Fownes 1 4.6 1-3/4
2 0 SATIRICAL GLORY Led early H B Avdulla · D A Hayes 6 4.3 1-3/4
3 0 GALLANT VALOUR Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards 12 19.0 2-3/4
4 0 DUBLIN STAR V/TT M Chadwick · K L Man 9 73.0 3
5 0 AMAZING BOY Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang 10 25.0 3-1/2
6 0 YOUNG VICTORY Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · W Y So 5 66.0 4
7 0 WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly B L Hewitson · K W Lui 7 8.3 4-1/4
8 0 MASTER HERO V-/XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 6.4 4-1/4
9 0 PERFETTO CP A Hamelin · D J Hall 2 10.0 4-1/2
10 0 NOBLE WIN E/XB M F Poon · J Size 4 5.9 6
11 0 TOP TOP TEA B-/TT- E C W Wong · C H Yip 11 12.0 8
12 0 V LOVE YOU TT K C Leung · C S Shum 8 39.0 11-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-21 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GALVANIC, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with SATIRICAL GLORY second and GALLANT VALOUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite SATIRICAL GLORY finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GALVANIC—2. SATIRICAL GLORY+1.75L3. GALLANT VALOUR+2.75L4. DUBLIN STAR+3L5. AMAZING BOY+3.5L6. YOUNG VICTORY+4L7. WIN WIN FIGHTER+4.25L8. MASTER HERO+4.25L9. PERFETTO+4.5L10. NOBLE WIN+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick GALVANIC (15.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GALVANIC 15.0% 6.67 1
2 0 SATIRICAL GLORY 14.4% 6.93 2
3 0 MASTER HERO 13.5% 7.41 8
4 0 PERFETTO 13.4% 7.47 9
5 0 NOBLE WIN 11.0% 9.06 10
6 0 WIN WIN FIGHTER 11.0% 9.08 7
7 0 GALLANT VALOUR 10.7% 9.37 3
8 0 TOP TOP TEA 4.3% 23.51 11
9 0 DUBLIN STAR 2.4% 41.71 4
10 0 AMAZING BOY 1.8% 54.35 5
11 0 V LOVE YOU 1.3% 75.87 12
12 0 YOUNG VICTORY 1.2% 86.76 6
GALVANIC — wonSATIRICAL GLORYMASTER HEROPERFETTONOBLE WINWIN WIN FIGHTERGALLANT VALOURTOP TOP TEADUBLIN STARAMAZING BOYV LOVE YOUYOUNG VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 46

PLACE

1 54

5 20.5

7 16.5

QUINELLA

5,7 104

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 161

1,7 135.5

5,7 42

FORECAST

5,7 195

TIERCE

5,7,1 2,759

TRIO

1,5,7 694

FIRST 4

1,5,7,11 7,413

QUARTET

5,7,1,11 97,154

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

2,4/5 192.5

2,4/7 21.5