Happy Valley · 2024-02-21 · 12:44
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-21 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SERANGOON, ridden by H Bentley and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with FOREVER GLORIOUS second and KYRUS UNICORN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SERANGOON Closed strongly CP/TT 1.49.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | FOREVER GLORIOUS Led early B/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 11 | 8.6 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 5 | 7.2 | N |
| 4 | 9 | CASA COSMO B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 4 | 29.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | TAKE ACTION P1 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 7.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | MR ALADDIN CP K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 6.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 6 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE B K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | TURTLE AGAIN B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 12 | 5.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | ROBOT FIGHTER B- K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 35.0 | 6 |
| — | 2 | PEGASUS GENERAL Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SERANGOON | 19.0% | 5.28 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | MR ALADDIN | 14.2% | 7.06 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | KYRUS UNICORN | 11.8% | 8.50 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 11.6% | 8.64 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | TURTLE AGAIN | 10.2% | 9.79 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 9.2% | 10.82 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | TAKE ACTION | 7.7% | 12.99 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | SUNNY BABY | 7.1% | 14.05 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 4.7% | 21.42 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | ROBOT FIGHTER | 2.4% | 40.92 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | CASA COSMO | 2.2% | 46.08 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 40
PLACE
4 18
7 29.5
10 22
QUINELLA
4,7 273
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 95
4,10 54
7,10 121
FORECAST
4,7 396
TIERCE
4,7,10 1,929
TRIO
4,7,10 444
FIRST 4
4,7,9,10 2,829
QUARTET
4,7,10,9 47,992
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
3/8/2,4 1,039
3/8/7 834
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,8/7,10>2,4 14,705
4TH DOUBLE
8/2,4 198
8/7 122.5