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Happy Valley · 2024-02-21 · 20:43

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1800m Course C+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.49.82
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SERANGOON Closed strongly CP/TT 1.49.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · A S Cruz 1 4.0 SH
2 0 FOREVER GLORIOUS Led early B/TT C L Chau · K W Lui 11 8.6 SH
3 0 KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly A Atzeni · D J Hall 5 7.2 N
4 0 CASA COSMO B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards 4 29.0 1
5 0 TAKE ACTION P1 B Avdulla · J Size 7 7.4 1-3/4
6 0 MR ALADDIN CP K Teetan · P C Ng 10 6.3 2-1/4
7 0 SUNNY BABY Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes 3 13.0 3
8 0 PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H B Thompson · P F Yiu 6 21.0 4
9 0 OWNERS' PRAISE B K De Melo · W Y So 8 15.0 5-1/4
10 0 TURTLE AGAIN B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung 12 5.9 5-1/4
11 0 ROBOT FIGHTER B- K C Leung · K L Man 2 35.0 6
— 0 PEGASUS GENERAL Y L Chung · K H Ting — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-21 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SERANGOON, ridden by H Bentley and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with FOREVER GLORIOUS second and KYRUS UNICORN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SERANGOON—2. FOREVER GLORIOUS+0.1L3. KYRUS UNICORN+0.05L4. CASA COSMO+1L5. TAKE ACTION+1.75L6. MR ALADDIN+2.25L7. SUNNY BABY+3L8. PRECISE EXPRESS+4L9. OWNERS' PRAISE+5.25L10. TURTLE AGAIN+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick SERANGOON (19.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SERANGOON 19.0% 5.28 1
2 0 MR ALADDIN 14.2% 7.06 6
3 0 KYRUS UNICORN 11.8% 8.50 3
4 0 FOREVER GLORIOUS 11.6% 8.64 2
5 0 TURTLE AGAIN 10.2% 9.79 10
6 0 OWNERS' PRAISE 9.2% 10.82 9
7 0 TAKE ACTION 7.7% 12.99 5
8 0 SUNNY BABY 7.1% 14.05 7
9 0 PRECISE EXPRESS 4.7% 21.42 8
10 0 ROBOT FIGHTER 2.4% 40.92 11
11 0 CASA COSMO 2.2% 46.08 4
SERANGOON — wonMR ALADDINKYRUS UNICORNFOREVER GLORIOUSTURTLE AGAINOWNERS' PRAISETAKE ACTIONSUNNY BABYPRECISE EXPRESSROBOT FIGHTERCASA COSMO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 40

PLACE

4 18

7 29.5

10 22

QUINELLA

4,7 273

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 95

4,10 54

7,10 121

FORECAST

4,7 396

TIERCE

4,7,10 1,929

TRIO

4,7,10 444

FIRST 4

4,7,9,10 2,829

QUARTET

4,7,10,9 47,992

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

3/8/2,4 1,039

3/8/7 834

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

6,7,8/7,10>2,4 14,705

4TH DOUBLE

8/2,4 198

8/7 122.5