Happy Valley · 2024-02-21 · 14:58
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-21 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. KA YING SPIRIT, ridden by K H Chan and trained by C S Shum, won by 2-1/4, with HEROIC MASTER second and ATOMIC ENERGY third. The 2.9 favourite HAPPY UNITED finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KA YING SPIRIT B/TT 0.56.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 5 | 30.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | HEROIC MASTER CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 3.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | ATOMIC ENERGY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | HAPPY UNITED P/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 2 | 2.9 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | GREAT STATE TT1 K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 3 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY CP/H/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 8 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | HOSS B/TT B Thompson · P C Ng | B Thompson | P C Ng | 10 | 57.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | MA COMET H/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 7 | 8.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR/XB A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 12 | 35.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 1 | 26.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | FORTUNE WHISKEY CP/H A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 6 | 87.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | ALLGREEKTOME L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HAPPY UNITED | 28.2% | 3.55 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | ATOMIC ENERGY | 12.6% | 7.91 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | MA COMET | 10.4% | 9.59 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 10.1% | 9.92 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | HEROIC MASTER | 10.0% | 10.00 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 5.8% | 17.36 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | GREAT STATE | 5.7% | 17.44 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | KA YING SPIRIT | 5.5% | 18.11 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 5.3% | 19.04 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | HOSS | 4.7% | 21.33 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST | 0.9% | 110.44 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 0.8% | 120.31 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 308
PLACE
3 15.5
4 71.5
9 22
QUINELLA
3,4 572.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 178.5
3,9 46.5
4,9 307
FORECAST
4,3 1,539
TIERCE
4,3,9 9,700
TRIO
3,4,9 1,255
FIRST 4
3,4,5,9 411
QUARTET
4,3,9,5 19,980
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
5/7/3 595
5/7/4 20,714
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,7/3,4,9 22,715
8TH DOUBLE
7/3 45.5
7/4 1,732.5
SIX UP
6,8/2,4,7/5,7/5,9/3,7/3,4 3,096
8/2,4/5/5/7/4 6,015,899
1 [A S Cruz] —
2 [A Badel] —