跑馬地 · 2024-02-21 · 14:58
第 9場
2024-02-21跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、C S Shum訓練的KA YING SPIRIT勝出，贏出2-1/4。HEROIC MASTER獲得亞軍；ATOMIC ENERGY獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門HAPPY UNITED跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KA YING SPIRIT B/TT 0.56.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 5 | 30.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | HEROIC MASTER CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 3.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | ATOMIC ENERGY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | HAPPY UNITED P/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 2 | 2.9 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | GREAT STATE TT1 K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 3 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY CP/H/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 8 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | HOSS B/TT B Thompson · P C Ng | B Thompson | P C Ng | 10 | 57.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | MA COMET H/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 7 | 8.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR/XB A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 12 | 35.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 1 | 26.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | FORTUNE WHISKEY CP/H A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 6 | 87.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | ALLGREEKTOME L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HAPPY UNITED | 28.2% | 3.55 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | ATOMIC ENERGY | 12.6% | 7.91 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | MA COMET | 10.4% | 9.59 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 10.1% | 9.92 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | HEROIC MASTER | 10.0% | 10.00 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 5.8% | 17.36 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | GREAT STATE | 5.7% | 17.44 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | KA YING SPIRIT | 5.5% | 18.11 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 5.3% | 19.04 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | HOSS | 4.7% | 21.33 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST | 0.9% | 110.44 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 0.8% | 120.31 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 308
PLACE
3 15.5
4 71.5
9 22
QUINELLA
3,4 572.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 178.5
3,9 46.5
4,9 307
FORECAST
4,3 1,539
TIERCE
4,3,9 9,700
TRIO
3,4,9 1,255
FIRST 4
3,4,5,9 411
QUARTET
4,3,9,5 19,980
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
5/7/3 595
5/7/4 20,714
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,7/3,4,9 22,715
8TH DOUBLE
7/3 45.5
7/4 1,732.5
SIX UP
6,8/2,4,7/5,7/5,9/3,7/3,4 3,096
8/2,4/5/5/7/4 6,015,899
1 [A S Cruz] —
2 [A Badel] —