Happy Valley · 2024-02-21 · 14:19
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-21 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BON'S A PEARLA, ridden by A Badel and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/2, with COPARTNER AMBITION second and WINNING ICEY third. The 3.2 favourite COPARTNER AMBITION finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BON'S A PEARLA B 1.09.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 1 | 6.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | COPARTNER AMBITION B/TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 3 | 3.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | WINNING ICEY B1/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 4 | 8.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 2 | 8.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | WONDER KIT B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 5.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | GOKO WIN B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | ASTROLOGER SR B Thompson · K L Man | B Thompson | K L Man | 7 | 67.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | NEVER TOO SOON K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 12 | 24.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | GRATEFUL HEART B/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 9 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | MAGNIAC V/TT K H Chan · J Richards | K H Chan | J Richards | 10 | 16.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 11 | 55.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | EXCELLENT PEERS M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 16.1% | 6.21 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | WONDER KIT | 14.0% | 7.13 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | BON'S A PEARLA | 13.4% | 7.45 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | MAGNIAC | 13.3% | 7.53 | 11 |
| 5 | 5 | WINNING ICEY | 11.5% | 8.67 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 8.3% | 12.04 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 7.1% | 14.03 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | NEVER TOO SOON | 4.2% | 23.63 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | GOKO WIN | 3.9% | 25.96 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | GRATEFUL HEART | 3.1% | 32.72 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | BEAUTY GLORY | 3.0% | 33.40 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | ASTROLOGER | 2.1% | 48.37 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 66.5
PLACE
3 13
5 29
7 24
QUINELLA
3,7 124.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 53
3,7 45.5
5,7 87
FORECAST
7,3 291
TIERCE
7,3,5 1,347
TRIO
3,5,7 191
FIRST 4
3,5,6,7 258
QUARTET
7,3,5,6 6,891
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
5/3 74
5/7 742