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Happy Valley · 2024-02-21 · 19:11

Race 2

Class 1 GOOD 1650m Course C+3 7 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.13
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly TT 1.40.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · P F Yiu 7 8.4 1-1/4
2 0 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor 3 3.1 1-1/4
3 0 NORDIC DRAGON B-/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 1 7.0 2-1/4
4 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early L Hewitson · Y S Tsui 6 13.0 2-1/4
5 0 RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT K De Melo · C W Chang 4 30.0 3-1/4
6 0 LA CITY BLANCHE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 7.6 3-1/4
7 0 DANCING CODE B/TT K Teetan · C Fownes 5 2.5 4-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-21 was Class 1 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MR ASCENDENCY, ridden by H Bentley and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with HAPPY TOGETHER second and NORDIC DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite DANCING CODE finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MR ASCENDENCY—2. HAPPY TOGETHER+1.25L3. NORDIC DRAGON+2.25L4. TELECOM FIGHTERS+2.25L5. RISING FROM ASHES+3.25L6. LA CITY BLANCHE+3.25L7. DANCING CODE+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick DANCING CODE (35.0%) finished 7th — the winner MR ASCENDENCY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DANCING CODE 35.0% 2.86 7
2 0 LA CITY BLANCHE 24.9% 4.02 6
3 0 HAPPY TOGETHER 20.1% 4.98 2
4 0 MR ASCENDENCY 8.8% 11.30 1
5 0 NORDIC DRAGON 5.1% 19.74 3
6 0 RISING FROM ASHES 3.6% 27.46 5
7 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS 2.6% 39.07 4
DANCING CODELA CITY BLANCHEHAPPY TOGETHERMR ASCENDENCY — wonNORDIC DRAGONRISING FROM ASHESTELECOM FIGHTERS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 84.5

PLACE

2 13.5

5 19

7 21

QUINELLA

2,7 150

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 37

2,7 44.5

5,7 64

FORECAST

7,2 326

TIERCE

7,2,5 1,773

TRIO

2,5,7 249

FIRST 4

1,2,5,7 437

QUARTET

7,2,5,1 10,565

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

8/2 51

8/7 660.5

← Race 1 Race 3 → This meeting Draw bias · Happy Valley 1650m Need this as data? Full results archive — US$299 All results since 1977 as data