Happy Valley · 2024-02-21 · 11:12
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-02-21 was Class 1 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MR ASCENDENCY, ridden by H Bentley and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with HAPPY TOGETHER second and NORDIC DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite DANCING CODE finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly TT 1.40.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 7 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON B-/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 1 | 7.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 6 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 4 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | LA CITY BLANCHE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | DANCING CODE B/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 5 | 2.5 | 4-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DANCING CODE | 35.0% | 2.86 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 24.9% | 4.02 | 6 |
| 3 | 2 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 20.1% | 4.98 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | MR ASCENDENCY | 8.8% | 11.30 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON | 5.1% | 19.74 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | RISING FROM ASHES | 3.6% | 27.46 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.6% | 39.07 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 84.5
PLACE
2 13.5
5 19
7 21
QUINELLA
2,7 150
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 37
2,7 44.5
5,7 64
FORECAST
7,2 326
TIERCE
7,2,5 1,773
TRIO
2,5,7 249
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 437
QUARTET
7,2,5,1 10,565
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/2 51
8/7 660.5