跑馬地 · 2024-03-06
第 8場
2024-03-06跑馬地第8場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的STRONGEST BOY勝出，贏出N。CORDYCEPS ONE獲得亞軍；CAN'T GO WONG獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門SURE JOYFUL跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STRONGEST BOY 後段發力 B/TT 1.41.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 4.1 | N |
| 2 | 4 | CORDYCEPS ONE 早段領放 H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 5 | 6.2 | N |
| 3 | 10 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 9 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 7.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | PO ON WAY 後段發力 B M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 12 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 XB K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | SURE JOYFUL H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 7 | 3.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | D STAR 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | CHEONG FAT H/PC B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 10 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | RIGHT HONOURABLE B/XB B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 2 | 39.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | TAKE ACTION P K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 8 | 13.0 | 8 |
| — | 7 | STARSHIP EIGHTY A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STRONGEST BOY | 38.2% | 2.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 12.5% | 7.98 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | SURE JOYFUL | 12.4% | 8.04 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | TAKE ACTION | 8.2% | 12.26 | 11 |
| 5 | 4 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 6.8% | 14.75 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | CAN'T GO WONG | 5.7% | 17.44 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | D STAR | 4.5% | 22.41 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | PO ON WAY | 3.4% | 29.58 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | CHEONG FAT | 3.3% | 30.02 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 2.8% | 35.50 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 2.2% | 45.54 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 41.5
PLACE
4 20
8 16.5
10 34.5
QUINELLA
4,8 150
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 52
4,10 105.5
8,10 79
FORECAST
8,4 274
TIERCE
8,4,10 2,367
TRIO
4,8,10 515
FIRST 4
4,8,10,12 636
QUARTET
8,4,10,12 10,978
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
2/4 150
2/8 289.5