Happy Valley · 2024-03-06
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B/TT 1.41.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 4.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE Led early H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 5 | 6.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 9 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 7.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | PO ON WAY Closed strongly B M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 12 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly XB K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SURE JOYFUL H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 7 | 3.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | D STAR Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CHEONG FAT H/PC B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 10 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE B/XB B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 2 | 39.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | TAKE ACTION P K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 8 | 13.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. STRONGEST BOY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with CORDYCEPS ONE second and CAN'T GO WONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite SURE JOYFUL finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STRONGEST BOY | 38.2% | 2.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 12.5% | 7.98 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | SURE JOYFUL | 12.4% | 8.04 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | TAKE ACTION | 8.2% | 12.26 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 6.8% | 14.75 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG | 5.7% | 17.44 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | D STAR | 4.5% | 22.41 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | PO ON WAY | 3.4% | 29.58 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | CHEONG FAT | 3.3% | 30.02 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 2.8% | 35.50 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 2.2% | 45.54 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 41.5
PLACE
4 20
8 16.5
10 34.5
QUINELLA
4,8 150
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 52
4,10 105.5
8,10 79
FORECAST
8,4 274
TIERCE
8,4,10 2,367
TRIO
4,8,10 515
FIRST 4
4,8,10,12 636
QUARTET
8,4,10,12 10,978
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
2/4 150
2/8 289.5