Happy Valley · 2024-03-06
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR TT 1.10.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | ACT OF FAITH B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | HARMONY N BLESSED B-/CP1/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.7 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 4 | 7.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MEGA BONUS V A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 9 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ATOMIC FORCE H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 5 | 4.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B/XB C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 1 | 9.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 6 | 9.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST BL1/XB1/TT1 M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 3 | 31.0 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-06 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COLOURFUL EMPEROR, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with ACT OF FAITH second and HARMONY N BLESSED third. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR | 24.3% | 4.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 13.4% | 7.48 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | ACT OF FAITH | 12.7% | 7.85 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 12.7% | 7.87 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY GLORY | 9.2% | 10.89 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | ATOMIC FORCE | 8.8% | 11.36 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | MEGA BONUS | 8.7% | 11.50 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 8.5% | 11.71 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST | 1.7% | 59.79 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 36.5
PLACE
1 16.5
5 15.5
6 30
QUINELLA
5,6 181
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 38
1,6 89
5,6 60
FORECAST
5,6 284
TIERCE
5,6,1 1,138
TRIO
1,5,6 245
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 438
QUARTET
5,6,1,3 8,292
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
4/5 239
4/6 89