Happy Valley · 2024-03-06
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT 1.41.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON Closed strongly B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 9 | 19.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | GALLANT WAKING Closed strongly H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 7 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY Led early K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 7.4 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY EIGHT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 8 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR CONTACT CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 5 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | QUANTUM PATCH Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 6 | 4.9 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARITY BINGO A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 1 | 6.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ROCKET SPADE XB/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 3 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-06 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RED HARE KING, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with WINNING DRAGON second and GALLANT WAKING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | QUANTUM PATCH | 20.8% | 4.81 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | RED HARE KING | 18.0% | 5.54 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | ROCKET SPADE | 14.6% | 6.83 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | CHARITY BINGO | 11.1% | 9.02 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | GALLANT WAKING | 10.1% | 9.89 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY | 7.4% | 13.45 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON | 6.6% | 15.05 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 5.8% | 17.25 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY EIGHT | 5.4% | 18.41 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 29.5
PLACE
1 32.5
2 50
7 14
QUINELLA
2,7 262
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 217.5
1,7 57.5
2,7 90
FORECAST
7,2 363
TIERCE
7,2,1 2,460
TRIO
1,2,7 585
FIRST 4
1,2,7,8 953
QUARTET
7,2,1,8 14,242
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
4/5/2 748
4/5/7 772
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,6/1,2,7 10,575
4TH DOUBLE
5/2 115.5
5/7 75.5